Forced selling could approach $60 billion as volatility control and pension flows drive action, Craig Shapiro notes

Forced selling could approach $60 billion as volatility control and pension flows drive action, Craig Shapiro notes
Forced selling risk hits $60 billion mark

Craig Shapiro highlights that markets could face forced selling totaling nearly $60 billion. He notes that volatility control is close to being maxed out, with a 2% move potentially triggering $30 billion in sales. In addition, pension funds may add another $33 billion by month-end, according to data from Goldman Sachs. Shapiro also mentions that gamma exposure is decreasing with the quarter end, corporate buyback activity has recently paused, and volatility indices like VIX remain inactive, with further attention on credit markets, the U.S. dollar, and the 10-year Treasury yield.

Shapiro has recently highlighted stronger U.S. payroll and inflation data, alongside a 20 percent surge in oil prices and looser financial conditions in a previous report. He also raised concerns when Brent crude climbed to $106 and 30-year U.S. Treasury yields hit two-decade highs, citing market fragility in an earlier update. These past observations offer context to his latest warnings on forced selling and market volatility.

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