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Treasury drops duration supply commitment, Craig Shapiro notes

Treasury drops duration supply commitment, Craig Shapiro notes
Treasury changes refunding statement wording

The U.S. Treasury removed the words 'at least' from its latest refunding statement, dropping its previous reference to keeping duration supply constant for 'at least' the next several quarters.

Craig Shapiro described this as marking the countdown to larger coupon auctions, with 2H FY27 identified as the likely timeframe.

Craig Shapiro previously noted that SOXL rebalancing has injected synthetic negative gamma, with Treasury longs at their highest net length since early periods here. He has also commented on Brent crude rising to $105 as Pentagon strike plans weighed on bond markets here. These observations provide context for his recent focus on changes in Treasury auction language.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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