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Craig Shapiro: CPI at 0.3 percent or higher reopens 50bp debate for equity valuations

Craig Shapiro: CPI at 0.3 percent or higher reopens 50bp debate for equity valuations
CPI level challenges equity valuation support

A consumer price index (CPI) print of 0.3 percent or above reopens the debate over a potential 50 basis point policy move and removes the only real support holding equity multiples together.

Craig Shapiro described Monday's 2.35 percent equity 'crash-up' as a mechanical upmove driven by negative gamma and leveraged fund activity, not as a sign of recovery. He stated today's CPI release is key to watch for its implications on markets.

Shapiro previously highlighted that SOXL rebalancing injects synthetic negative gamma, creating risks that may not be fully reflected in the market here. Last week, he also previewed major market themes and developments set to impact indices, oil, gold, and rates here. These recent observations add context to his current caution on market reactions around the CPI release.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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