S&P 500 rises around 1.5% as artificial intelligence optimism and CoreWeave earnings fuel rebound

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S&p 500 rises 1.48% today

Highlights

The S&P 500 rebounded on renewed artificial intelligence sector enthusiasm after CoreWeave reported positive earnings.
Institutional investors and ETFs contributed notable inflows, with the dividend yield spread versus the 10-year Treasury drawing market attention.
The index is trading near 7,632, with mixed momentum indicators and a projected five-day range of 7,468 to 7,795.

Investor inflows increase as AI sentiment counters yield concerns

The S&P 500 responded to renewed enthusiasm in the artificial intelligence industry, sparked by positive earnings from cloud provider CoreWeave. This rebound came as investors balanced continued concerns over rising Treasury yields and potential interest rate hikes from the U.S. Federal Reserve. Institutional investors and ETFs contributed to recent inflows during ongoing market volatility, while the dividend yield spread versus the U.S. 10-year Treasury is drawing attention as a potential indicator of rotation.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, remains skeptical despite the S&P 500’s bounce. He notes the index is capped by the 50-day moving average and weak momentum signals. The technical structure is mixed, while negative Bull/Bear Power suggests sellers are still active. Investors stay cautious as inflows persist, but fundamental risks from rising yields and Fed policy linger. "I see only limited upside unless the index clears 7,672 — the threat of downside still outweighs optimism here."

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, points to revived AI optimism and robust institutional inflows as strong positives. He sees the long-term bullish structure sustained by the index staying well above its 200-day moving average. Market sentiment has stabilized with traders anticipating opportunities from sector rotation and improved earnings. Karapetjanc is confident further growth is possible if SPX breaks above the 50-day line. "The bullish structure remains intact — investors should prepare for multiple setups if sentiment holds and resistance at 7,672 is cleared."

Sholanke Dele, market strategist, focuses on macro risks and sentiment fragility. He warns that enthusiasm driven by positive AI news could fade under pressure from higher yields and potential Fed hikes. Dele observes the probability of further downside remains high, with market volatility not fully resolved. "I remain cautious — renewed optimism feels vulnerable as macro clouds loom and intraday sellers dominate action."

Mixed momentum and neutral oscillators cap rally near 50-day resistance

SPX is trading at 7,632, holding above the 20-day moving average (7,630) and the 200-day moving average (7,331), but remaining beneath the 50-day moving average (7,672). This pattern points to near-term support and confirms the longer-term bullish structure, with immediate resistance at the 50-day line. The Ichimoku Kijun at 7,598 reinforces support just below the current price. Momentum readings are mixed: MACD signals continued weakness, and the ADX indicates an uncommitted trend. Oscillators including RSI, Stochastic RSI, and CCI remain neutral, suggesting no overbought or oversold conditions. Negative Bull/Bear Power and the Awesome Oscillator confirm sellers lead intraday activity, even as price trades near the session highs with subdued volatility.

Earlier, analysts noted that the S&P 500 was supported by ongoing risk appetite and strength in technology shares. The current setup introduces caution with mixed momentum and dominant sellers in the short term, making a close above the 50-day moving average a key inflection point for renewed upside.

Source of Data: SPX Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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