Blockchain analytics, altcoin market insights, and crypto forecasting by Joao Wedson
Joao Wedson is founder and Chief Executive Officer of Alphractal, a blockchain analytics firm that produces data-driven reports on market cycles and liquidity flows. Since 2022, Wedson has published more than 20 research notes tracking Bitcoin dominance, altcoin accumulation phases, and total value locked in DeFi. In April 2025, he predicted a window for altcoin resurgence between June and September, when Bitcoin dominance exceeded 62 percent and capital rotation signals appeared.
By July 2025, Wedson issued a warning that market conditions suggested a potential Bitcoin pullback below $65,000, while maintaining a longer-term scenario where prices could reach $140,000 if momentum held. His analysis has been featured in Cointelegraph, Coindoo, and Traders Union, and he has appeared in over 15 podcast interviews. Wedson’s audience exceeds 50,000 across social media platforms, where engagement often surpasses 5,000 interactions per forecast. With a quant-focused style and consistent public tracking of cycle indicators, Wedson has become an active voice for investors seeking structured approaches to altcoin timing and Bitcoin risk management.
Crypto content creators experience historic lows, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson highlights that crypto content creators on YouTube are experiencing their worst period in history as viewership for cryptocurrency-related content reaches record lows. He interprets ...
Joao Wedson: $1.4 billion in Bitcoin positions at risk if price falls to $53,500
Joao Wedson notes that $1.4 billion in Bitcoin positions stand to be liquidated if the cryptocurrency's price drops to $53,500. The comment highlights ongoing trader activity, with many ...
Bitcoin reserves on exchanges increase as accumulation weakens, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson reports that Bitcoin reserves on exchanges are rising, with the 180-day change nearing a positive turn. This shift indicates that outflows of BTC from exchanges have slowed over the ...
Joao Wedson: Model tracks Bitcoin tops through moving averages
Joao Wedson highlights a unique model for Bitcoin that uses a massive combination of moving averages to identify the best intersection between previous and future tops. According to Joao Wedson, ...
Strong optimism required for market recovery, Joao Wedson warns
Joao Wedson observes that extreme sentiment has faded from the crypto market. He emphasizes that while strong optimism is necessary for a sustained recovery, it must align with robust on-chain ...
Joao Wedson: Bitcoin market cycles repeat after halving
Joao Wedson observes that Bitcoin's historical 4-year cycles have once again emerged following the recent halving. He notes that, despite changes in intensity and behavior, the overall pattern ...
Long-heavy positioning at 71 percent after filtering largest levels, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson highlights recent trends in market liquidation levels. According to Wedson, long positions remain dominant, even though short positions have faced liquidations in the short term. When ...
Joao Wedson: Weaker artificial intelligence sector could drive Bitcoin in coming months
Joao Wedson suggests that a potential weakening of the artificial intelligence sector will serve as a main driver for Bitcoin in the next few months. Wedson offers an opinion that contrasts with ...
Bitcoin supply in profit falls below trendline, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson highlights that Bitcoin has entered a decisive phase, with the supply in profit losing its trendline for the first time. According to Joao Wedson, short-term holders are now under less ...
Joao Wedson: Bitcoin enters final selling phase with preliminary support building
Joao Wedson outlines that Bitcoin is now entering its final selling phase. According to Joao Wedson, this stage includes a period called preliminary support, where increased buying activity ...
Bitcoin could move toward $57,300, Joao Wedson predicts
Joao Wedson predicts that Bitcoin is on track to reach $57,300. He emphasizes that understanding where liquidity resides in the current market is essential for achieving consistent trading ...
Joao Wedson: Long/short ratio at 2 across top 5 crypto exchanges
Joao Wedson highlights that the average long/short ratio among the top five crypto exchanges has reached 2, indicating that there are two traders positioned long for every one positioned short. ...
Supply in profit breaks historical support trendline, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson highlights that supply in profit has lost a crucial trendline that historically served as support for Bitcoin price bottoms. He indicates that he is preparing a full video covering ...
Joao Wedson: Bitcoin price bottom may come before GTA 6 launch
Joao Wedson speculates that Bitcoin's price may reach its bottom before the launch of Grand Theft Auto 6. He believes this could mark a turning point for the broader market. Wedson also notes ...
Impossible Cloud Network Token rises 28% with changing liquidation levels, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson reports that Impossible Cloud Network Token, an altcoin on ethereum:0xe5e0b73380181273abcfd88695f52c4d0c825661, has increased by 28% today. The token's liquidation levels for periods ...
Joao Wedson: MemeCore plunge triggers major liquidations after distribution phase
Joao Wedson highlights a significant downturn in MemeCore, noting that the token experienced a sharp decline after exiting a distribution phase. According to Joao Wedson, the drop was forceful ...
Bitcoin has not seen extreme miner losses yet, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson highlights that Bitcoin has yet to experience an extreme capitulation scenario similar to previous cycles, which is usually marked by significant miner losses and a notable increase in ...
Joao Wedson: Bitcoin analysis should focus on alpha, not stocks or macro
Joao Wedson emphasizes that when analyzing Bitcoin over the next year, traditional stocks and macroeconomic metrics should be set aside. Instead, Wedson advises focusing on alpha, suggesting that ...
Bitcoin $57,300 is a key risk threshold, Joao Wedson warns
Joao Wedson highlights that the $57,300 mark is a significant liquidation level when analyzing 30 exchanges over the past 30 days. He suggests this price region should be monitored closely if ...
Joao Wedson: Market environment resembles dot-com bubble risks
Joao Wedson draws a parallel between the current market environment and the period leading up to the dot-com bubble. He emphasizes that recent developments in market behavior show similarities to ...
Onchain Alpha offers a unique Bitcoin bottom indicator, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson describes Onchain Alpha as the ultimate metric for identifying historical bottoms for Bitcoin. According to Wedson, Alphractal's version of this metric differs from others because its ...
