Blockchain analytics, altcoin market insights, and crypto forecasting by Joao Wedson
Joao Wedson is founder and Chief Executive Officer of Alphractal, a blockchain analytics firm that produces data-driven reports on market cycles and liquidity flows. Since 2022, Wedson has published more than 20 research notes tracking Bitcoin dominance, altcoin accumulation phases, and total value locked in DeFi. In April 2025, he predicted a window for altcoin resurgence between June and September, when Bitcoin dominance exceeded 62 percent and capital rotation signals appeared.
By July 2025, Wedson issued a warning that market conditions suggested a potential Bitcoin pullback below $65,000, while maintaining a longer-term scenario where prices could reach $140,000 if momentum held. His analysis has been featured in Cointelegraph, Coindoo, and Traders Union, and he has appeared in over 15 podcast interviews. Wedson’s audience exceeds 50,000 across social media platforms, where engagement often surpasses 5,000 interactions per forecast. With a quant-focused style and consistent public tracking of cycle indicators, Wedson has become an active voice for investors seeking structured approaches to altcoin timing and Bitcoin risk management.
Joao Wedson: Solana asset liquidates bull positions after buildup
An asset associated with Solana is currently liquidating long positions that built up previously. Joao Wedson stated that he had posted several warnings about excessive long positioning in Solana ...
BIST All Shares-100 trend shows bear market challenges, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson described the performance of Turkey’s BIST All Shares-100 index as a warning about the destructive power of a bear market. The index represents approximately 481 Turkish ...
Joao Wedson: Hyperliquid open interest jumps by over $1 billion as CEXs see inflows
Open interest on Hyperliquid (HYPE) rose by more than $1 billion today, with most of the increase driven by Hyperliquid, Gate, and Binance. Joao Wedson said that although Hyperliquid recorded a ...
Crypto market sees low interest in five-year period, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson stated that interest in the crypto market is currently at one of its lowest levels in the past five years. He added that the accompanying chart helps explain why people often enter ...
Joao Wedson: ETF SATO often shows weakness before Bitcoin movement
Joao Wedson described the behavior of the Invesco Alerian Galaxy Crypto Economy ETF (SATO) as extremely interesting, noting that historically this ETF has often started showing signs of weakness ...
Preference for new long positions emerges across exchanges, Joao Wedson notes
The long/short ratio across multiple exchanges indicates a growing preference for new long positions. Joao Wedson shared this assessment on social media, adding that this shift could incentivize ...
Joao Wedson: Seeking unified trading terminal with extensive metrics and on-chain data
Joao Wedson asked if there is a trading terminal that consolidates over 2,000 metrics, data from dozens of exchanges, historical Hyperliquid Liquidation Levels, Whale versus Retail data, CVD by ...
Bitcoin MVRV in 2026 closely matches 2018, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson said that Bitcoin’s MVRV in 2026 shows its strongest correlation with 2018. Wedson described this comparison as interesting and shared it with his ...
Joao Wedson: Emotional decisions can be costly in crypto market
Joao Wedson advised that anxiety can result in losing money in the crypto market and encouraged making decisions based on data rather than emotions. Wedson also stated that patience can be a ...
Altcoin dominance in open interest replaces Bitcoin, Joao Wedson notes
Open interest in the crypto derivatives market is now dominated by altcoins at 57.4 percent, compared to a previous period when Bitcoin controlled more than 90 percent. Joao Wedson commented that ...
Joao Wedson: Market traps can be misleading while liquidity forces dominate
Joao Wedson warned that the market often presents traps, giving the appearance that a trend is set to continue. He stated that liquidity forces are more influential than short-term narratives and ...
Visualizing nearly 700 cryptocurrencies in one chart, Joao Wedson notes
A chart mapping nearly 700 cryptocurrencies by market cap rank and relative strength index (RSI) offers a broad perspective on the crypto market. Joao Wedson described the visualization, noting ...
Joao Wedson: Interest in cryptocurrencies at lowest level since 2023
Joao Wedson stated that interest in cryptocurrencies has reached its lowest point since 2023. He added that this trend is reflected by the reduced frequency of crypto content, spam, and ads. Joao ...
Stock and crypto sentiment indices show divergence, Joao Wedson notes
The stock market is currently at a sentiment level of 18, indicating extreme fear, while the crypto market stands at 55, which is considered neutral. Joao Wedson reported the comparison between ...
Joao Wedson: Solana and Hyperliquid prices decline since October 6 update
Solana and Hyperliquid have both seen price declines since October 6. Joao Wedson reported that Solana fell from $120.70 to $103.70, representing a 14.08 percent decrease. Hyperliquid dropped from ...
Exploring new altcoins is like discovering stars, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson described the crypto market as being similar to stars in a galaxy, emphasizing its constant motion. In his view, exploring the market in three dimensions offers opportunities to ...
Joao Wedson: Altcoin season expected only in 2027
Joao Wedson stated that altcoin season is expected to take place only in 2027, emphasizing that all indicators point to this ...
Whales are leaning toward long positions while retail traders do the opposite, Joao Wedson notes
Whales are favoring long positions on multiple exchanges, while retail traders are taking the opposite approach. Joao Wedson highlighted that this dynamic is reflected by what he called the Whale ...
Joao Wedson: Global liquidity rises in several regions but contracts in Europe
Global liquidity has increased significantly over the past 30 days in countries and regions including Paraguay, Brazil, South Korea, Azerbaijan, Hong Kong, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, ...
Bitcoin market indicators telling a different story this cycle, Joao Wedson notes
Bitcoin market signals that have historically coincided with asset bottoms are showing different trends in the current cycle. Joao Wedson highlighted that while negative global M2 money supply ...
Joao Wedson: Bitcoin bulls face pressure if BTC falls below $75,000
Joao Wedson cautioned that many Bitcoin bulls could be under considerable pressure if BTC drops further from the $75,000 mark. He also advised being extremely cautious with leveraged positions at ...
