Blockchain analytics, altcoin market insights, and crypto forecasting by Joao Wedson

Joao Wedson is founder and Chief Executive Officer of Alphractal, a blockchain analytics firm that produces data-driven reports on market cycles and liquidity flows. Since 2022, Wedson has published more than 20 research notes tracking Bitcoin dominance, altcoin accumulation phases, and total value locked in DeFi. In April 2025, he predicted a window for altcoin resurgence between June and September, when Bitcoin dominance exceeded 62 percent and capital rotation signals appeared.

By July 2025, Wedson issued a warning that market conditions suggested a potential Bitcoin pullback below $65,000, while maintaining a longer-term scenario where prices could reach $140,000 if momentum held. His analysis has been featured in Cointelegraph, Coindoo, and Traders Union, and he has appeared in over 15 podcast interviews. Wedson’s audience exceeds 50,000 across social media platforms, where engagement often surpasses 5,000 interactions per forecast. With a quant-focused style and consistent public tracking of cycle indicators, Wedson has become an active voice for investors seeking structured approaches to altcoin timing and Bitcoin risk management.

  • Yaroslav Dmytrenko
  • 6 hours ago
Joao Wedson: Scammers impersonating Binance founder increase in past days
Joao Wedson reports a significant increase in scammers impersonating Binance founder Changpeng Zhao over the past few days. He states that he has been consistently receiving messages from these ...
  • Jose Antonio Gastelum
  • 11.06.2026
Accumulation by major Bitcoin addresses has slowed since October 2025, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson observes that accumulation by large Bitcoin addresses has changed since October 2025. According to Wedson, major holders have been reducing their positions during this period. Wedson ...
  • Yaroslav Dmytrenko
  • 09.06.2026
Joao Wedson: Exchange reserves rise as monthly change turns positive
Joao Wedson reports that exchange reserves are rising again. The monthly change has shifted to a positive value, indicating inflows into exchanges. This trend suggests that investors are becoming ...
  • Daria Chernytska
  • 09.06.2026
Crypto influencers return to social media amid rising interest, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson observes that the number of crypto influencers and related social media posts is increasing again. This growth in influencer activity is taking place across topics linked to BTC, ETH, ...
  • Hanna Syniavska
  • 08.06.2026
Joao Wedson: Ethereum market cap equals Tether for first time
Joao Wedson reports that, for the first time in history, Ethereum’s market cap has reached parity with Tether’s market cap. Wedson also highlights the significance of the Tether Market Cap vs ...
  • Yaroslav Dmytrenko
  • 07.06.2026
Dogecoin hits a significant bottoming phase, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson highlights that Dogecoin is currently in a price bottoming phase. According to Wedson, a specific metric has historically proven highly accurate in signaling major price bottoms for ...
  • Hanna Syniavska
  • 06.06.2026
Joao Wedson: ZEC enters capitulation after complacency phase
Joao Wedson assesses that ZEC, which he previously identified as being in the complacency phase one month ago, is now undergoing a capitulation stage. The remarks highlight a shift in ZEC's ...
  • Jose Antonio Gastelum
  • 05.06.2026
HYPE and BTC correlation becomes strong, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson observes that the correlation between HYPE and BTC has started to strengthen once more. He comments that he previously anticipated the earlier trend would not last long, suggesting ...
  • Daria Chernytska
  • 04.06.2026
Joao Wedson: HYPE breaks out but sustained upside is uncertain against BTC
Joao Wedson highlights that HYPE has broken out of a short-term distribution phase. However, he cautions that investors should not assume this momentum will continue indefinitely, especially as ...
  • Daria Chernytska
  • 03.06.2026
Longs increase and liquidations repeat across top exchanges, Joao Wedson warns
Joao Wedson observes a rising long/short ratio across the top five crypto exchanges, noting that more traders are currently favoring long positions. He highlights that this trend has resulted in ...
  • Yaroslav Dmytrenko
  • 02.06.2026
Joao Wedson: Negative news may soon impact crypto and traditional markets
Joao Wedson suggests that there is a high probability of negative news emerging in the near future that could affect the crypto sector, and possibly traditional markets as well. According to the ...
  • Jose Antonio Gastelum
  • 01.06.2026
BTC buys are announced quickly while sales are less visible, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson observes that Saylor rapidly announces his purchases of BTC to the public. In contrast, information about BTC sales does not reach the public as promptly or ...
  • Daria Chernytska
  • 31.05.2026
Joao Wedson: Old Bitcoin holders remain calm as coins stay inactive
Joao Wedson observes that older Bitcoin is not moving as it once did. According to Wedson, early Bitcoin adopters appear calm, suggesting that many may have already sold a significant portion of ...
  • Daria Chernytska
  • 31.05.2026
New model tracks Bitfinex whale-driven liquidations, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson has introduced a new model for identifying liquidation levels in crypto markets. The test was conducted using Bitfinex data over the last 6 years, focusing on the impact of whale ...
  • Jose Antonio Gastelum
  • 30.05.2026
Joao Wedson: Bitcoin to Ethereum exchange reserve ratio offers key performance signal
Joao Wedson suggests that analyzing the ratio of Bitcoin exchange reserves to Ethereum exchange reserves can produce a valuable signal regarding their relative performance. Wedson explains that ...
  • Hanna Syniavska
  • 28.05.2026
HYPE drops by 10 percent after profit call, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson reported that Hyperliquid HYPE declined by approximately 10 percent after he identified 63 dollars as a favorable level for taking profits. He also remarked that, even if HYPE begins ...
  • Daria Chernytska
  • 28.05.2026
Joao Wedson: On-chain analysts influenced by manipulated crypto narratives in recent years
Joao Wedson observes that, over the past two years, many respected on-chain analysts have begun to rely on narrative-driven analysis within the crypto sector, a trend he sees as both strange and ...
  • Jose Antonio Gastelum
  • 26.05.2026
UTXO model enables Bitcoin metrics tracking, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson comments on a detailed thread by Alphractal that explains the significance of the UTXO model as the foundation for most Bitcoin on-chain metrics. Wedson highlights that metrics such ...
  • Yaroslav Dmytrenko
  • 25.05.2026
Joao Wedson: Bitcoin accumulation slows as Strategy purchases remain small
Joao Wedson observes that only a few addresses are actively accumulating Bitcoin at present, a noticeable decrease compared to 60 days ago. Wedson remarks that while Strategy (MSTR) may continue ...
  • Elena Nikulina
  • 24.05.2026
Russia’s liquidity and M2 grow while Ukraine’s fall, Joao Wedson notes
Joao Wedson highlights that M2 money supply and liquidity from the Central Bank of Russia continue to increase without interruption. In contrast, data from Ukraine shows a decline in these ...
  • Hanna Syniavska
  • 23.05.2026
Joao Wedson: Altcoins experience significant volatility as NEAR rises and others fall
Joao Wedson highlights recent high volatility among several altcoins, including NEAR, ONDO, EDGE, BEAT, and FET. According to Wedson, while NEAR has been rising, many other tokens are ...