US dollar to Indonesian Rupiah Signals and Price Predictions

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Start Trading USD/IDR
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eToro - Best Broker to Trade USD/IDR

The USD/IDR currency pair is one of the very non-standard pairs in the Asian region. Despite the fact that Indonesia has a fairly stable economy, the rupiah is gradually devaluing against USD. Over the past 10 years, IDR has fallen in price by more than 50%. Devaluation is accompanied by strong volatility on the daily time frames. The range of movement with ​​several months is up to 15-20%, so this pair is suitable for positional trading in both directions.

1

Recommendation for USD/IDR on the 15M timeframe is Strong Sell.

2

Recommendation for USD/IDR on the 1H timeframe is Strong Sell.

3

Recommendation for USD/IDR on the 1D timeframe is Neutral.

Advantages of the Indonesian economy are:

  • Relatively low inflation level at a low discount rate. Over the past 5 years it did not exceed 6% per annum, mainly tending to the level of 3-4%;
  • Low public debt of about 40% of the GDP (up to 60% is considered standard).

Analysts do not provide a clear forecast regarding the long-term prospects for the rate. The probability of a slow devaluation is higher than a return to the levels of 11,800-12,000 rupiahs per $1. But the USD/IDR uptrend will continue to see frequent deep drawdowns.


In our article, you will be able to learn the latest price forecasts and signals on the USD/IDR currency exchange rate for 1 hour-1 week. USD/IDR forecasts and signals are based on the technical analysis indicators.

NOTE!

On this page, you will find the latest information about current prices, updated and new forecasts for short and long-term intervals:

  • Asset quotes are updated every minute.
  • Price chart is updated every minute.
  • Technical indicator data is updated according to the time frame. For example, on M5, the data is updated every 5 minutes.
  • Medium and long-term forecasts are updated every hour.

USD/IDR forecast for 1 day, 1 week, 1 month

USD/IDR forecast by TU is prepared automatically on the basis of technical analysis of moving averages and indicators for each timeframe (interval) separately. Select the timeframe you need to find out USD/IDR price prediction for today.

NOTE!

Signals may differ on different timeframes. If you want to hold the USD/IDR for longer than 1 week/1 month, it is best to use the signals on daily and weekly timeframes. Timeframes from 5 minutes to 1 hour are best suitable for short-term transactions.

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Indicator Based Technical Analysis of USD/IDR

To find a better entry point, also find out what TradingView technical analysis tool signals for the US Dollar to Indonesian Rupiah currency exchange rate. "Sell" or "Strong Sell" means that most of the signals are bearish. "Buy" or "Strong Buy" means that most of the signals are bullish. For short-term signals, it is recommended to use settings from 15 minutes to 2 hours. For long-term signals, it is recommended to use settings from 4 hours to 1 week.

USD/IDR Chart Online

What Influences USD/IDR Long-term Price Forecast

Key factors impacting the USD/IDR price:

  • Macro-financial indicators of the U.S. and Indonesian economies include inflation level, interest rates, economic growth, unemployment, and trading balance. Statistics on the U.S. economy have a predominantly short-term impact. The general state of the Indonesian economy, forecasts, and prospects for the stabilization of the rupiah mostly have a long-term impact;
  • Geopolitics. Political and geopolitical developments in the U.S. and Indonesia include government changes, trading agreements, and international relations;
  • Demand and supply for currency. The balance is determined by such factors as foreign exchange interventions in the Indonesian economy, attraction of foreign investors to the country, credit support from foreign partners, demand from importers/exporters, and speculative demand;
  • Actions of central banks such as changing the discount rate, using gold and foreign exchange reserves to stabilize the exchange rate, changing the reserve ratio for commercial banks, etc.

The state of the world economy also has an impact on the price. For example, there was a sharp devaluation at the start of the pandemic in 2020.

Latest exchange rates online

Price prediction methodology

The following tools and instruments were used for making the prediction:


Basic instruments of technical analysis. The forecast relies on basic technical indicators. The analysis was performed mostly on medium and long-term time frames for more accurate results.

Chart analysis. Analysis comprises a review of key levels of support, resistance, trend lines, as well as patterns formed on different time frames.

Statistical tools help evaluate a probability of a fundamental factor that could impact the price, its nature and intensity of impact.

Methods of mathematical and statistical analysis; modeling, adaptive forecasting methods.

Expert opinions and consensus forecast.

NOTE!

This forecast is based on current information and data of previous periods. Emergence of strong fundamental factors capable of radically changing the overall market trend and subsequent price trend is possible. The forecasts are updated regularly based on the latest data.

This article is created for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Be aware of the high volatility of cryptocurrencies and consider these risks when making investment decisions.

FAQs

What is the IDR forecast today?

Most analysts forecast a continued slow devaluation of the Indonesian rupiah against USD. Devaluation will be accompanied by deep short-term corrections. As of today, the USD/IDR price is IDR 15,967.1504 rupiahs.

How much is USD to IDR?

The USD/IDR exchange rate is constantly changing. Over the past few years, the average movement corridor is 14,600-15,700 rupiahs per $1.

Is Indonesia's currency strong?

No, it is not. The Indonesian rupiah is gradually depreciating against USD.

When should I buy Indonesian rupiah?

The USD/IDR rate has a strong volatility. It makes sense to consider the possibility of buying IDR (short position) when the price reaches the next all-time high and then reverses under the influence of fundamental factors.