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Phillips Edison released its fourth quarter and full year 2025 results. The company posted year-end performance figures on key metrics.
Same-center NOI grew by 3.8% for the year. Nareit FFO per share increased 7.2%. Core FFO per share grew 7.0%.
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PECO is trading at $36.81, which is below its 20-day SMA ($38.04) and 50-day SMA ($37.54) but above its 200-day SMA ($35.45), indicating ongoing short- and medium-term downside pressure while the longer-term trend remains supportive. The Ichimoku Kijun at $38.28 sits above the current price, serving as immediate resistance. Near-term support is seen at the 100-day SMA ($36.31), with key support at the 200-day SMA ($35.45). Resistance is marked initially by the 50-day SMA ($37.54), and the Kijun ($38.28) stands as the next key resistance.
MACD and ADX on D1 both point to a bearish trend, with MACD negative and ADX favoring sellers. RSI is approaching oversold territory on D1, while Stoch RSI and CCI confirm a strongly oversold condition, suggesting short-term downside may be overextended. BBP D1 is also in oversold territory, indicating sellers dominate the current momentum. The Awesome Oscillator D1 aligns with bearish momentum. Over the past week, PECO ended flat at $36.81, unchanged from last week's close, with weekly volatility at 2.71%. The price is positioned in the lower part of the weekly range, reflecting a steady drift from the highs and short-term consolidation after recent selling pressure.
For the upcoming week, the expected range is $36.65 to $36.77, framing the price just above the 52-week low ($32.40) and well below the 52-week high ($40.06). Based on the weekly indicator signals—RSI W1, MACD W1, ADX W1, and MA-50 W1—three out of four suggest a bullish bias, resulting in a high probability (more than 80%) of a price increase and a very low probability (less than 20%) of further immediate downside. Baseline scenario: trading remains confined between $36.65 and $36.77 as the price consolidates. Bullish scenario: a move above $36.77 could open the path to retesting near-term resistance toward $37.54. Bearish scenario: a sustained break below $36.65 may trigger a test of the 100-day or 200-day SMA supports towards $36.31 and $35.45, respectively.
Earlier, analysts noted that Phillips Edison was experiencing bearish momentum and persistent short-term selling pressure, despite long-term support. This article adds that investors should focus on any shift in momentum indicators or a decisive move above near-term resistance, which could signal the start of a recovery.