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S&P Global opened the 18th #JapanETF26 Conference in Tokyo, where industry leaders gathered for two days to discuss investing and capital markets.
CEO Martina Cheung began the event by emphasizing transparency, insight, and the continued growth of ETFs in Japan.
SPGI is trading at $412.29, which places it below the MA-20 ($416.88), MA-50 ($424.07), and MA-200 ($476.02), indicating persistent downward pressure across short-, medium-, and long-term trends. The Ichimoku Kijun on D1 stands at $427.48, marking immediate resistance. Near-term support is seen at the MA-20 ($416.88), with key support at the MA-50 ($424.07). Near-term resistance aligns with the Kijun ($427.48), while the MA-100 ($443.78) provides key resistance.
Momentum indicators on D1 are decisively bearish, with MACD signaling strong sell and ADX suggesting a weak, trendless environment. RSI at 44.00, CCI at -61.65, and an oversold BBP reading all point to bearish momentum and mild oversold conditions, underscoring seller dominance. Stoch RSI remains neutral, while AO does not add directional conviction. SPGI has fallen $11.71 (2.76%) from last week’s close of $424.00. The current price sits in the lower part of this week’s range, and weekly volatility stands at 5.75%. The week has seen a steady decline from recent highs. In today’s session, the stock slid 1.24%, accelerating the recent sell-off.
Looking ahead, the projected price range for the coming week is $400 to $420, which reflects the historical weekly volatility around current levels and keeps the forecast realistic and relevant to market conditions. Given that W1 signals for MA-50, MA-100, MA-200, RSI, ADX, and MACD are all bearish, the probability of further downside is very high (more than 80%), while the chance of a rebound is very low. The baseline scenario points to stabilization within the $400–$420 corridor. A bullish scenario requires a decisive break and close above the $427–$444 resistance cluster, which is unlikely given current momentum. A bearish scenario could see further declines below $400 if sellers gain renewed strength, but the proximity to the 52-week low at $381.61 suggests limited downside room relative to the 52-week high of $579.05.
Previously it was reported that S&P Global was under sustained bearish pressure, with minimal signs of a potential near-term rebound. In the current environment, investors should closely monitor for a confirmed shift in momentum, as any decisive break above resistance could signal the first signs of stabilization.