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Morgan Stanley identified uncertainty around U.S. monetary policy and increasing caution toward AI as main themes for investors after meetings across Europe and Asia.
Serena Tang, Global Head of Cross-Asset Strategy Research at Morgan Stanley, addressed these topics as key concerns on investors' minds. The bank referenced the long-term potential of AI amid the growing caution.
Morgan Stanley is trading at $213.33, sitting below its MA-20 ($216.09) but well above MA-50 ($203.35) and MA-200 ($178.16). This configuration points to short-term consolidation below near-term resistance, with medium- and long-term trends remaining strongly bullish. The Ichimoku Kijun on D1 stands at $213.45, acting as immediate resistance just above the current price. Near-term support comes in at MA-50 ($203.35) and key support at MA-200 ($178.16). The immediate resistance is the Kijun ($213.45), followed by key resistance at MA-20 ($216.09).
Momentum indicators on D1 are mixed: MACD signals strong buy, while ADX shows positive trend strength. RSI and Stoch RSI suggest neutral-to-oversold conditions, and CCI prints a mild sell. BBP is negative and flagged as oversold, indicating sellers dominate short-term momentum despite medium-term strength. Weekly change is positive: Morgan Stanley is trading at $213.33, up from the previous week’s close of $212.05, reflecting a 0.60% gain. The price sits in the middle of its weekly range, while weekly volatility stands at 5.59%. Action has consolidated after a volatile move between the week’s low and high.
For the upcoming week, the expected trading range is $207.50–$218.50, reflecting a realistic band around the current price within annual context (52-week low: $135.26; high: $229.88). On W1, MA-50, RSI, ADX, and MACD all signal bullish, resulting in a very high probability (more than 80%) of further upside, with a low probability of a pullback. The baseline scenario is sideways movement between $207.50 and $218.50. A bullish breakout above $218.50 could target the yearly highs. A bearish breakdown below $207.50 could test medium-term support near $203.35 but remains less likely given the prevailing trend.
Previously it was reported that Morgan Stanley faced short-term selling pressure, though its overall market outlook remained constructive. This article adds a new dimension by updating the technical picture, with traders advised to watch for a decisive break above near-term resistance as a potential signal for renewed upside momentum.