Strategy stock price prediction: Support pressure after new Bitcoin accumulation pause

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Strategy drops 3.78% to $93.79 today

Highlights

Strategy Inc. raised $467 million through at-the-market share sales and sold 3,588 Bitcoin to prioritize US dollar liquidity and meet preferred stock obligations.
Institutional interest remains robust as Swedbank AB increased its stake, with the CEO citing a Bitcoin price floor of $8,000 to $10,000 for financial security.
Strategy Inc. shares face persistent selling pressure, trading below key technical levels, with a high-probability price range of $88.54 to $99.04 and a bearish outlook prevailing.

Liquidity reinforced by share sales and Bitcoin liquidation amid pressure

Between July 6 and July 12, 2026, Strategy Inc. raised approximately $467 million through at-the-market share sales to significantly increase its U.S. dollar reserves and meet preferred stock obligations, according to Finance Yahoo. The company also sold 3,588 Bitcoin for roughly $216 million in early July at a loss to further strengthen cash reserves, as reported by Memeburn, and has since paused new Bitcoin acquisitions to prioritize liquidity via equity issuance (Simplywall). Swedbank AB's holding increase to 90,590 shares highlights continued institutional positioning in Strategy as a proxy for Bitcoin exposure, while CEO Phong Le has publicly quantified the firm's financial security threshold at a Bitcoin price floor of $8,000 to $10,000 (Coindesk), though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Seller dominance persists amid oversold signals and neutral momentum

On the technical front, MSTR/USD is trading below the hourly MA-20 at $96.54 and MA-50 at $95.24, and remains well beneath the daily MA-200 at $171.87. The Ichimoku Kijun level on the daily chart stands at $95.98, serving as immediate resistance. Among momentum indicators, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and Average Directional Index (ADX) both register neutral readings, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43.95 and along with the Commodity Channel Index (CCI), signals a sell condition. The Stochastic RSI and Bull/Bear Power display oversold and seller-dominated territory. Meanwhile, the Awesome Oscillator offers a neutral stance, not supporting the prevailing trend. Current volatility remains elevated, with signal alignment indicating seller control, while neutral momentum in some indicators advises caution.

Consolidation likely as resistance and support levels define outlook

Looking ahead over the next several days, MSTR/USD is expected to remain within a price range of $88.54 to $99.04, reflecting the typical volatility band relative to current levels. There is a 25% probability of an upward scenario, which would require overcoming resistance at the Ichimoku Kijun and key moving averages. The base case anticipates consolidation within this range, while a drop below support would likely reinforce negative momentum and could lead to new local lows. Traders should monitor any break of the $88.54 support or a closing move above resistance for the next directional impulse.

Anton Kharitonov, analyst at Traders Union, sees Strategy Inc. under sustained pressure after share sales and Bitcoin liquidation reinforce a defensive cash position. He notes technical signals remain weak, with price action pinned below key moving averages and momentum tilted negative. The cautious institutional interest does not offset risks tied to halted Bitcoin accumulation and ongoing volatility. "Until MSTR reclaims $95.98 on a closing basis, I remain defensive and neutral on the setup."

Earlier, analysts noted that Strategy's focus on dual business streams and liquidity initiatives positioned the company as both a Bitcoin proxy and a digital credit innovator, while technical signals favored near-term consolidation. The current analysis adds that intensifying seller control and fresh Bitcoin divestments reinforce downside risk, making the $88.54 support level critical for determining the next trend direction.

Source of Data: MSTR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.