XRP price prediction: $1.50 resistance in focus as XRP gains 1.75%

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XRP up 1.75% today at $1.4602

Highlights

Senate progress on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act sharply reduces legal uncertainty for XRP, boosting market confidence.
Institutional inflows totaling $39.6 million last week and a 63% drop in selling pressure underscore improved liquidity and investor sentiment.
XRP's short-term trend remains bullish but overbought, with price likely rangebound between $1.45 and $1.59 amid weak momentum.

Institutional inflows and declining supply as regulatory clarity strengthens

The advancement of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act by the U.S. Senate Banking Committee marks a significant step toward establishing a federal framework for digital assets, directly impacting XRP by reducing legal uncertainty and clarifying oversight. This regulatory progress has catalyzed substantial institutional inflows of $39.6 million over the prior week, adding depth to market liquidity and reflecting renewed confidence from large investors. Additional support comes from a steep 63% decline in exchange-bound selling pressure, which has eased immediate supply concerns, while rising open interest in derivatives points to increased speculative activity with a notable long bias.

Overbought momentum meets key support amid weak trend signals

Technically, XRP is currently holding above the SMA-20 at $1.4153 and the SMA-50 at $1.3883, but it remains well below the SMA-200 level at $1.7378. The Ichimoku Kijun level on the daily chart stands at $1.4477, acting as a prominent support. Momentum indicators on the daily timeframe, including MACD and RSI, both signal buy, while ADX registers a weak trend at 12.48. Stoch RSI posts clearly overbought values at 94.26, and CCI is also in overbought territory at 182.82. Bull/Bear Power confirms ongoing buyer dominance intraday, and the Awesome Oscillator aligns with the broader uptrend. The session opened with a minor gap up, and the present price is near the session low ($1.4559–$1.5000) amid moderate volatility and a slightly more cautious tone following the initial advance.

Rangebound bias dominates as low upside odds and overbought risks persist

Over the next five trading days, XRP is expected to remain within a typical volatility band between $1.45 and $1.59. The probability of a further price increase is low (less than 20%), suggesting that declines are more likely in the short term. The primary scenario anticipates rangebound movement within this corridor, but a decisive breakout above $1.50 could trigger a move towards $1.59. Conversely, a drop below $1.45 would risk opening deeper pullbacks given persistent overbought daily signals and weak momentum on the weekly timeframe.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees the Senate Banking Committee’s move as a clear macro and fundamental boost for XRP. He believes renewed institutional flows and lower selling pressure confirm ongoing optimism among market participants. The advance, however, has left daily technicals stretched, so he expects XRP to trade within $1.45–$1.59 in the near term. "Structural tailwinds are in place, but I would wait for pullbacks or a decisive break above $1.50 before adding to long positions."

Previously it was reported that XRP maintained a broadly sideways-to-bearish technical posture amid persistent regulatory uncertainty and limited direct financial benefits for holders. The latest developments—marked by regulatory progress, strong institutional inflows, and reduced selling pressure—add a constructive dimension; however, traders should monitor for potential volatility spikes if overbought signals unwind or the asset fails to reclaim the $1.50 level.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.