Pi price prediction: $0.108 support at risk as PI loses 7.04%

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Pi drops 7.04% today to $0.1131

Highlights

Pi Network's new PiVerify product introduces paid KYC services for external fintech and Web3 clients, creating fresh transactional demand for the PI token.
Over $1.5 billion in new PI tokens are expected to enter circulation by 2026, increasing sell-side liquidity pressures.
PI/USD trades within a firmly bearish trend, with price likely to remain capped between $0.108 and $0.1182 over the next sessions.

Token demand offsets by incoming supply as platform expands use cases

Pi Network announced the launch of three new products for Pi2Day 2026—SoloHost, Pi Sign-in, and PiVerify—expanding the platform’s service offering with PiVerify enabling external fintech and Web3 clients to pay for KYC identity services in PI, as reported by Beincrypto. This development introduces a new direct use case for the token, potentially increasing transactional demand by facilitating paid verification from outside platforms. At the same time, the prospect of more than $1.5 billion in new PI tokens set to be unlocked over the next year, as highlighted by Banklesstimes, increases circulating supply and contributes to sell-side liquidity.

Oversold technicals deepen as sellers dominate below resistance cluster

PI/USD is trading below the hourly moving averages: MA-20 at $0.1168, MA-50 at $0.1214, and the longer-term MA-200 at $0.1734. Immediate resistance is identified at $0.1173 by the Ichimoku Kijun. Momentum indicators remain bearish, with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Average Directional Index (ADX), and Awesome Oscillator all pointing to strong selling. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is deep in oversold territory at 29.15, and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) also signals oversold conditions, while the Stochastic RSI is neutral. Bull/Bear Power confirms intraday seller dominance, and price action is clustered near the session lows.

Downside risks persist with reversal seen unlikely barring breakout

Over the next two to three sessions, PI is forecast to trade within a volatility band between $0.108 and $0.1182. The probability of an upward reversal is considered very low in current conditions, with further downside remaining highly likely. The baseline scenario expects sideways price action within this corridor, while a break above $0.1173 would be required to initiate a bullish scenario; failure to hold the $0.108 support opens the possibility for additional declines.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees material long-term potential in Pi Network’s product launches that create real-world token demand. He notes the near-term landscape is challenged by a sizable increase in token supply and predominantly negative momentum. The expert believes broader utility is a constructive sign but expects further downside unless supply pressures ease. "New product integrations set a strong fundamental base, but for sustained upside PI needs to weather the immediate supply surge and restore market confidence."

In a recent review, analysts highlighted ongoing downside pressure for Pi amid persistent bearish momentum and concerns over increasing token supply. The latest developments reinforce these risks, with traders advised to monitor whether growing utility from new product launches can offset intensified sell-side liquidity and support stability above the $0.108 level.

Source of Data: PI Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.