Gram weekly forecast: Sellers in control with resistance at $1.3939 capping recovery
Gram (GRAM, formerly Toncoin) is trading near $1.35 after dropping more than 2% this past week, stretching its latest decline toward oversold territory. Sentiment stays cautious as the downturn stalls just above key weekly support — setting up a tense week ahead as traders weigh downside risk against a possible technical bounce.
Highlights
- Gram declined 2.54% over the past week and now trades at $1.345 near the bottom of its recent range.
- The asset trades below key moving averages and momentum indicators remain bearish, pointing to continued weakness.
- Gram is expected to consolidate within a $1.2852 to $1.4047 range, with support at $1.334 and resistance at $1.3939.
Momentum turns negative as price stalls below key averages this week
On the daily chart, the setup is weakening with the price holding below both the MA-20 and MA-50, and the MACD signaling Sell as momentum turns negative. Volatility over the past week reached 8.47%, with a sharp move lower but without a sustained trend, confirming the flat trend character. The Stochastic RSI reading of 24.0632 is approaching oversold, but has not entered an oversold zone, while the Ichimoku Kijun at $1.427 acts as resistance. Immediate support is found at $1.334 from last week's low, and resistance stands at $1.3939 near the MA-50.
Consolidation likely in coming week as bearish risk outweighs rebound
In the week ahead, Gram is expected to trade within a range of $1.2852 to $1.4047. There is a very high probability (more than 80%) of a further decrease, with a very low probability (less than 20%) of an advance. The base case favors continued consolidation between $1.334 and $1.3939. A bullish scenario would require a decisive move above $1.3939, while a bearish break below $1.334 could expose the lower boundary of the forecast range.
Earlier, analysts noted that Gram’s outlook was cautious as price action consolidated near support, with the next move dependent on a break of key resistance. The current update reinforces this defensive stance and highlights a narrowing range, with immediate attention on whether Gram can hold above $1.334 to avoid a deeper decline.