Gram weekly forecast: Sellers in control with resistance at $1.3939 capping recovery

Gram weekly forecast: Sellers in control with resistance at $1.3939 capping recovery
Gram slips 2.54% this week

Gram (GRAM, formerly Toncoin) is trading near $1.35 after dropping more than 2% this past week, stretching its latest decline toward oversold territory. Sentiment stays cautious as the downturn stalls just above key weekly support — setting up a tense week ahead as traders weigh downside risk against a possible technical bounce.

TON price prediction
24H -0.89%
$1.341
48H -4.58%
$1.291
7D -8.61%
$1.2365
1M 7.02%
$1.448
3M -34%
$0.893
6M -31.65%
$0.9248
12M 59.14%
$2.1532
Current price: $1.353 -0.035 2.52%
Real-time Data 03:01
Daily range 1.347 Arrow from to Icon 1.354
Weekly range 1.3030 Arrow from to Icon 1.4750
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Highlights

  • Gram declined 2.54% over the past week and now trades at $1.345 near the bottom of its recent range.
  • The asset trades below key moving averages and momentum indicators remain bearish, pointing to continued weakness.
  • Gram is expected to consolidate within a $1.2852 to $1.4047 range, with support at $1.334 and resistance at $1.3939.

Momentum turns negative as price stalls below key averages this week

On the daily chart, the setup is weakening with the price holding below both the MA-20 and MA-50, and the MACD signaling Sell as momentum turns negative. Volatility over the past week reached 8.47%, with a sharp move lower but without a sustained trend, confirming the flat trend character. The Stochastic RSI reading of 24.0632 is approaching oversold, but has not entered an oversold zone, while the Ichimoku Kijun at $1.427 acts as resistance. Immediate support is found at $1.334 from last week's low, and resistance stands at $1.3939 near the MA-50.

Consolidation likely in coming week as bearish risk outweighs rebound

In the week ahead, Gram is expected to trade within a range of $1.2852 to $1.4047. There is a very high probability (more than 80%) of a further decrease, with a very low probability (less than 20%) of an advance. The base case favors continued consolidation between $1.334 and $1.3939. A bullish scenario would require a decisive move above $1.3939, while a bearish break below $1.334 could expose the lower boundary of the forecast range.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that Gram (GRAM) continued its decline this week, trading near $1.35 after losing more than 2%. He highlights that price action remains weak, with GRAM holding below the daily MA-20 and MA-50 and the MACD pointing to negative momentum. Despite volatility of 8.47%, the trend is still flat, signaling indecision among traders as the Stochastic RSI approaches oversold but stops short of a reversal signal. Immediate support at $1.334 is critical, while resistance at $1.3939 caps any attempt at recovery. Kharitonov sees a very high probability of further downside in the week ahead, unless a decisive breakout above $1.3939 occurs. "If GRAM drops below $1.334, I expect the bears to challenge the lower end of the forecast range at $1.2852," he says.

Earlier, analysts noted that Gram’s outlook was cautious as price action consolidated near support, with the next move dependent on a break of key resistance. The current update reinforces this defensive stance and highlights a narrowing range, with immediate attention on whether Gram can hold above $1.334 to avoid a deeper decline.

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