Kaspa weekly forecast: Recovery holds but faces a stretched setup

Traders Union
All News
Crypto
Kaspa gains 17.03% this week

Highlights

Kaspa gained 17.03% this week to $0.04, firmly above key daily moving averages with bullish trend momentum.
Technical indicators MACD and ADX show strong buying, but CCI and RSI both approach overbought conditions and signal risk of near-term pullback.
Kaspa is forecast to consolidate or drift higher in a $0.035 to $0.0449 range, with resistance at $0.041 and support at $0.0338.

Network upgrades and transaction record boost sentiment amid supportive backdrop

Kaspa has reached a major network milestone by surpassing 2.4 billion transactions, which could impact sentiment if broader market conditions remain supportive, according to CaptainAltcoin. The recent activation of the Toccata update on mainnet on June 30, 2026 introduced programmable UTXOs, covenants, transaction introspection, and ZK verification. Kaspa's continued efforts to improve scalability and the accessibility of its mining model could also shape market interest in the days ahead.

Strong trend persists as overbought signals and volatility rise this week

The daily chart shows a sustained move higher with a firm trend, as volatility reached 29.34% this week. MACD and ADX both signal continued buying momentum, while CCI is in the overbought zone at 133.86 and RSI is approaching overbought territory. Immediate support sits at $0.0338, which is reinforced by the Ichimoku Kijun, while resistance is marked at the weekly high of $0.041. This setup suggests the trend remains strong but technically overextended, so risk of near-term pullback is present as price tests resistance.

Upside bias eyed next week as consolidation risks follow breakout

Next week, Kaspa is expected to trade between $0.035 and $0.0449. There is a very high probability of an increase and a very low probability of a decrease. The base case is continued consolidation or upward drift within this range. A close above $0.041 would open potential for a move toward the upper end of the forecast, while a break below $0.0338 support would increase the odds of a deeper retracement.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees robust momentum in Kaspa (KAS) this week, bolstered by a 17% rally and significant network progress. He notes that surpassing 2.4 billion transactions and the recent Toccata update have further lifted sentiment, while Kaspa’s focus on scalability and mining accessibility supports a fundamentally strong backdrop. Technicals show continued buying pressure, with MACD and ADX confirming strength, though daily indicators like CCI at 133.86 and RSI nearing overbought suggest the setup is stretched. Karapetjanc expects consolidation with upward bias between $0.035 and $0.0449, and sees a close above $0.041 opening the door for further gains in the coming week. "Market confidence remains high, and I expect Kaspa to capitalize on its network achievements for continued upside in the days ahead."

Earlier, analysts noted that Kaspa's sustained bullish momentum was underpinned by strong network activity and robust technical performance. The current setup, marked by both continued rally and increased volatility following a major protocol upgrade, underscores the importance of monitoring the $0.0338 support and $0.041 resistance as key levels for potential trend continuation or reversal.

Source of Data: KAS Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.