Kaspa 7-day drop of around 14% supported by negative technical signals: weekly analysis

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Kaspa falls 13.79% this week

Highlights

Kaspa declined 13.79% this week and now trades at $0.0361, below short-term trend indicators.
Bearish momentum is strong with volatility at 15.2% and indicator signals approaching or in oversold territory.
Next week, Kaspa is expected to trade between $0.0333 and $0.0433, with immediate direction set by moves through $0.0342 or $0.0376.

Market volatility spikes as broad risk aversion exacerbates KAS losses

During the past week, Kaspa faced two notable rounds of market-driven declines that drew attention to heightened volatility and bearish sentiment. On October 13, 2026, DiarioBitcoin reported a sharp drop that coincided with broad-based risk aversion in crypto markets, rather than any specific news or on-chain triggers related to KAS. The retreat continued on October 15, 2026, as technical signals stayed negative, again without evidence of direct asset-specific events.

Momentum turns deeply bearish as volatility surges and oversold signals build

The daily chart shows a sustained move lower with a firm trend, as supported by the 15.2% volatility this week. The RSI is approaching oversold at 36.8937, and the CCI shows an oversold reading, highlighting heavy bearish momentum. Immediate support is found at $0.0342, with resistance at $0.0376 and the Ichimoku Kijun at $0.0421 capping rallies. Near-term action is likely to remain under pressure unless buyers reclaim key resistance.

Directional bias negative as rangebound trade likely dominates next week

Next week, Kaspa is expected to trade between $0.0333 and $0.0433. There is a 38% probability of an increase and a 62% probability of a decrease. The base case is continued choppy trade inside this range, with immediate direction dictated by moves through $0.0376 or $0.0342. A break above $0.0376 could target the Kijun at $0.0421, while a drop below $0.0342 would extend the downtrend toward the lower end of the expected range.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, believes Kaspa (KAS) has entered a zone of new opportunity after last week’s 14% drop and heightened volatility. He notes that even as bearish momentum dominated, the moves were driven by broader crypto market risk aversion, not asset-specific issues. With the daily RSI nearing oversold at 36.8937 and immediate support at $0.0342, the environment is set for buyers to potentially recover ground. The base case is choppy trading between $0.0333 and $0.0433, but a push above $0.0376 could quickly reignite bullish sentiment. "I see the coming week as a test of resilience—oversold conditions and the absence of negative KAS news create a setup where even minor bullish momentum could trigger a strong rebound."

Previously it was reported that Kaspa had shifted from prior bullish momentum into a phase of sustained bearish conditions, with downside risk taking precedence. The current analysis reinforces this outlook as fresh volatility data and deepening oversold signals point to continued pressure, making $0.0376 and $0.0342 the critical technical thresholds to monitor for any directional shift.

Source of Data: KAS Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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