Ethereum price prediction: Pullback holds above $3,645 as outflows rise and trendline stays intact

Ethereum price prediction: Pullback holds above $3,645 as outflows rise and trendline stays intact
Ethereum slips to $3,645 after testing resistance near $3,720 as exchange outflows increase

​Ethereum (ETH) is trading close to $3,645.92, slipping 2 percent intraday as the market digests recent gains. The pullback follows a test of the $3,720 to $3,750 resistance area, which prompted some profit-taking from short-term participants. 

Highlights

- Ethereum trades near $3,645 after rejection at $3,720 while holding above key support at $3,545

- $112.67 million in net outflows recorded on August 5, suggesting long-term accumulation

- DMI indicator signals cooling momentum but structure remains bullish above $3,200

Despite the minor retreat, ETH price remains above its 20-day EMA ($3,543) and continues to follow the broader ascending trendline from April, maintaining its bullish trajectory. Technical signals point to a cooling phase rather than a breakdown. The Directional Movement Index (DMI) now shows convergence between the +DI and -DI lines, suggesting fading bullish momentum. 

ETH price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

Immediate support is found around the $3,545 to $3,600 area, while stronger demand is expected near $3,200, where the 50-day EMA ($3,195) aligns with a prior breakout level.

On-chain flows show reduced exchange supply

Ethereum's recent on-chain activity continues to favor a longer-term constructive outlook. On August 5, net exchange outflows reached $112.67 million, indicating that large holders are reducing sell-side exposure and moving assets to self-custody. This behavior is typically associated with accumulation and reduced short-term liquidity.

Such a trend reflects increased confidence from long-term participants. If price can reclaim the $3,700 zone, the path opens toward the $3,900 to $4,092 resistance area. A failure to maintain support at $3,200 could trigger a deeper correction toward the 100-day EMA near $2,880.

As outlined in earlier coverage, Ethereum’s sustained rise above $3,000 marked a structural change in market tone. The bullish trend has held firm through several retracements, supported by strong moving average alignment. The zone between $3,720 and $3,750 continues to act as a cap. A confirmed breakout above this range could extend the uptrend toward $4,000, while maintaining above $3,200 remains essential for bulls in the near term.

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