Ethereum Classic price prediction: More losses ahead? Bear trend deepens below $15

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Ethereum classic drops 9.11% today

Highlights

Ethereum Classic (ETC) trades at $14.96, down 9.11%, remaining below key moving averages MA-20 ($18.01), MA-50 ($19.37), and MA-200 ($18.73), indicating sustained bearish momentum.
Upcoming Ethereum options expiry worth $970 million on October 17, 2025, and ETF outflows, alongside possible Federal Reserve rate cuts, signal potential for increased short-term volatility in Ethereum-linked assets.
Technical signals—including RSI at 33.68, persistent price weakness below resistance, and dominant seller control—suggest continued downside for ETC, with a projected five-day range of $13.78 to $14.32 and low rebound probability.

Volatility risk rises as major options expiry and ETF outflows loom

A major event impacting Ethereum Classic is the impending expiry of Ethereum options worth $970 million set for October 17, 2025, which may generate notable short-term price volatility in the broader Ethereum market. Additional influences include sizable outflows from Ethereum ETFs, and expectations around a potential 25 basis point Federal Reserve rate cut at the end of October, possibly supported by signals of further monetary easing by the Fed chair due to a soft labor market. Other factors such as potential US-China trade de-escalation and progress on regulatory clarity for crypto ETFs in the US could further improve sentiment and institutional participation.

Bearish momentum intensifies as indicators confirm seller dominance

Technical indicators point to entrenched weakness for ETC. The price trades well below the MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200, reaffirming bearish momentum across short, medium, and long-term horizons. The nearest dynamic support is set at the Ichimoku Kijun level of $13.81, while the MA-20 and MA-50 function as key resistance above. Momentum indicators are broadly negative: the MACD signals ongoing downside, the ADX highlights strong trend strength despite a contrary buy signal, and oscillators such as the RSI (33.68), Stoch RSI, and CCI all signal oversold or continued selling conditions. The BBP and Awesome Oscillator further confirm dominant seller control, and a gap lower at the open alongside heavy intraday volatility underscores sustained downward pressure. Despite extended weakness and oversold readings, there is no confirmed signal for a reversal, and momentum remains skewed to the downside.

Downtrend bias persists as rebound odds remain limited

Looking ahead, ETC is expected to trade within a range of $13.78 to $14.32 over the next five trading days. The likelihood of a price rebound is low (less than 20%), making further declines more probable. The baseline scenario calls for consolidation within this corridor, while any move above $14.32 could signal a bullish reversal. In contrast, a sustained break below $13.78 would likely accelerate the current downtrend.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, analyst at Traders Union, sees the current bearish momentum in Ethereum Classic as structurally significant but not irreversible, especially as macro and regulatory factors could quickly improve sentiment. He highlights that incoming events — such as the large Ethereum options expiry, evolving expectations about Federal Reserve rate policy, and potential progress on crypto ETF regulation — may act as catalysts for renewed institutional interest. While technicals currently point to weakness and further consolidation is likely near the $13.78–$14.32 range, Karapetjanc remains attentive to early signals of shifting sentiment. "Should regulatory clarity develop or macro conditions ease, I believe ETC could quickly attract renewed inflows and momentum despite near-term technical pressure."

Last time we reported that sellers appear to control the session amid heightened volatility and a dominance of bearish momentum. Bearish sentiment was reinforced by technical oscillators and moving averages, although there were mention of sporadic intraday gains.

Source of Data: ETC Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.