-7.48% for Bittensor — bullish medium-term signals offset by bearish day

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Bittensor slides 7.48% today

Highlights

Bittensor (TAO) trades at $397.20, maintaining a bullish structure above its MA-20 ($392.73), MA-50 ($355.51), and MA-200 ($365.02).
Safello Bittensor Staked TAO ETP launches on SIX Swiss Exchange, expanding institutional access; upcoming first halving on December 12, 2025, will cut daily emissions by 50%.
Despite a $32.10 (7.48%) drop and high volatility, price is expected to move sideways between $401.00 and $410.60 next week with 75% probability of increase.

Institutional inflows expected as ETP launch and halving approach

The planned launch of the Safello Bittensor Staked TAO Exchange Traded Product (ETP) on the SIX Swiss Exchange by Deutsche Digital Assets and Safello is set to provide regulated institutional and retail exposure to TAO and its staking rewards. This anticipated product aims to drive broader market access and institutional participation in Bittensor. An additional catalyst on the horizon is the first halving event scheduled for December 12, 2025, which will reduce daily TAO emissions by 50% and could further support price appreciation.

Divergent momentum as intraday drop contrasts bullish indicators

Momentum signals show mixed strength: the daily MACD suggests strong buy, but the ADX value remains weak, indicating a lack of clear directional momentum. The RSI at 46.73 and the Stoch RSI near 47 highlight neutral-to-light selling pressure, while CCI leans bullish and BBP suggests some intraday buying interest. Today saw a sharp drop of $32.10 (down 7.48%), opening with a gap higher from the previous close and now pushing near today’s low within a wide $399.10–$448.80 range. High volatility and pressure after the open are evident. Oscillator and momentum signals are divergent, with downside intraday action contradicting the generally positive signals from longer-term momentum indicators.

Moderate upside potential as range-bound outlook prevails

For the coming week, the expected price range is $401.00 to $410.60. The probability of further price increase is moderate at 75%, making a decline much less likely. The baseline scenario is sideways trading between support and resistance. If bullish momentum returns, a break above $410.60 could trigger a move higher. Should support at $401.00 fail, a deeper pullback toward lower moving averages may develop.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees a supportive medium- to long-term outlook for Bittensor (TAO), underpinned by bullish technical structure and anticipation of institutional inflows enabled by the upcoming Safello Bittensor Staked TAO ETP. He emphasizes that upcoming fundamental catalysts — such as regulated product access and next year’s halving — could sustain positive sentiment and market participation, despite today’s high volatility and mixed momentum signals. Karapetjanc believes the baseline scenario favors sideways consolidation with a constructive bias, where the risk of a deeper pullback remains limited if the $401.00 support holds. "With institutional access expanding and key fundamentals strengthening, I see further upside potential for TAO as long as critical support levels are respected."

Previously it was noted that TAO was expected to consolidate in the $402.80 to $408.30 range with a high probability. The prior report also highlighted a neutral outlook from momentum indicators, with both breakout and correction risks seen as elevated.

Source of Data: TAO Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.