Sideways trading for JPMorgan Chase stock — price hovers below key moving averages

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JPMorgan Chase gains 0.80% to $311.79

Highlights

JPMorgan Chase reported fourth-quarter revenue growth of 7% year-over-year and net income of $13.0 billion, or $4.63 per share.
The company maintained a standardized CET1 capital ratio of 14.5%, down 30 basis points from the prior quarter due to capital distributions and higher risk-weighted assets.
JPMorgan declared dividends for preferred and common stock, formed a Private Capital Advisory and Solutions team, and described the Apple Card portfolio acquisition as economically compelling with a two-year integration timeline.

Revenue growth and capital stability amid portfolio expansion

JPMorgan Chase reported strong fourth-quarter 2025 financial results, posting 7% year-over-year revenue growth and net income of $13.0 billion, or $4.63 per share. The company maintained a standardized CET1 capital ratio of 14.5%, down 30 basis points due to capital distributions and increased risk-weighted assets, but still comfortably above regulatory needs. JPMorgan also declared dividends for both preferred and common stock, established a new Private Capital Advisory and Solutions team, and highlighted the Apple Card portfolio acquisition as economically compelling with a two-year integration timeline.

Bearish momentum and oversold signals heighten reversal risk

Momentum signals are mixed: daily MACD is neutral while ADX at 12.07 shows weak trend strength. Most oscillators — including RSI at 40.27, Stochastic RSI, and CCI — are in oversold territory, with Bull/Bear Power strongly indicating intraday seller dominance. The Awesome Oscillator signals a strong sell, echoing the negative momentum. Price action opened with a minor gap higher and is near the top of today's narrow range, reflecting low volatility and early session strength; however, divergence between oversold oscillators and bearish momentum advises caution regarding potential reversals.

Neutral consolidation expected unless key support levels break

For the coming week, JPM is expected to move within a $304.00 to $321.00 volatility band relative to current levels. The probability of a price increase is moderate at 50% as only two of the four key weekly indicators signal a positive trend, while the odds of a decrease are similar. The baseline scenario calls for sideways consolidation within this range, with a bullish case emerging if JPM reclaims $317.86 and sustains momentum above the MA-50; a move below $304.00 would set sights on long-term MA-200 support.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, believes the short-term outlook for JPMorgan Chase is cautious, despite the company’s strong fundamentals and resilient capital position. He sees mixed technical signals with price capped below key moving averages and bullish momentum yet to confirm a reversal. The analyst notes risks of further weakness if $304.00 is lost, with only a break above $317.86 offering renewed upside interest. "Until price convincingly reclaims the MA-50, my base case is sideways action or further downside risk."

Previously it was reported that JPMorgan Chase & Co. is trading below its short- and medium-term moving averages amid ongoing seller pressure, though the long-term trend remains positive above key support levels. Technical indicators show mixed momentum, with oversold oscillators and strong MACD suggesting potential for a near-term consolidation or rebound between the $310 and $322 resistance range.

Source of Data: JPM Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.