Weekly forecast: Analysts predict volatility for Apple shares next week
Apple Inc. (AAPL) shares faced significant pressure last week, dropping nearly 8% to around $256 amid a broader tech sector correction and company-specific challenges. Technical indicators point to short-term weakness, prompting market participants to watch the stock closely as it approaches key support levels.
Concerns over tech stock growth were compounded by Apple’s issues with the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), which expressed dissatisfaction over alleged bias in the Apple News channel, reportedly favoring “left-leaning” publications over conservative outlets.
Additionally, the AI-enabled Siri update was postponed, heightening fears that the iPhone maker is falling behind competitors in artificial intelligence development. These events sparked worries that Apple’s relationship with the Trump administration could worsen and offset much of the company’s recent gains, despite reporting record holiday-quarter revenue driven by strong iPhone and services sales.
Technical overview
From a technical standpoint, AAPL has dropped below its short-term 20-day moving average and is now testing the 50-day MA. This pattern signals short-term selling pressure, although the 200-day MA remains upward sloping, preserving the long-term uptrend. The daily MACD shows a bearish crossover, suggesting continued downside momentum; however, a narrowing histogram hints at potential slowing of selling pressure. Meanwhile, the 14-day RSI hovers around 38–42, approaching oversold territory but not yet indicating a clear bullish reversal.
Scenarios for next week
Bearish scenario (most likely): If AAPL fails to reclaim the 20-day MA early in the week, shares could retest the $245–248 support zone. A break below this level may accelerate declines toward the 200-day MA.
Sideways scenario: If RSI stabilizes and MACD flattens, the stock could trade between $250 and $262, suggesting the market is digesting recent losses before a decisive move.
Bullish scenario: If Apple counters negative news with improved US administration relations or AI developments, AAPL could rise above $265–$275, supported by strengthening MACD momentum and RSI moving above 50. This would signal renewed investor confidence and buying interest.
"Apple is technically pressured but not structurally broken. If buyers defend the 50-day MA, we could see a 3–5% recovery next week, though volatility will likely remain elevated," says analyst Viktoras Karapetjanc.
Investors should prepare for a week of cautious AAPL trading, with potential swings defined by technical support and resistance levels. While the long-term trend remains intact, short-term volatility may present both risks and opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on near-term price movements.
As we wrote, Apple stock edges down as mixed technicals follow volatile institutional activity
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