Berkshire Hathaway maintains upside bias with portfolio shifts and MACD buy signal supporting further gains

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Berkshire Hathaway rises 0.26% this week

Highlights

Berkshire Hathaway trades at $498.91, remaining above the MA-20 ($491.63), MA-50 ($495.53), and MA-200 ($493.17), signaling short- and medium-term bullishness.
Momentum indicators are mixed—MACD issues a buy, but neutral readings on ADX, Awesome Oscillator, and intraday weakness suggest waning trend strength.
Expect consolidation between $490 and $505 over the next five trading days, with an 80%+ probability of price increase and $490 as key support.

Portfolio rebalancing shapes sentiment as tech allocation declines

Berkshire Hathaway reduced holdings in some large technology stocks, most notably Apple, though Apple remains its largest investment. During Q4 2025, Berkshire's portfolio value climbed to approximately $274 billion, according to 13F filings. The company also initiated a new stake in The New York Times and increased positions in companies such as Chubb, Domino's Pizza, and Chevron, while maintaining significant holdings in American Express and Coca-Cola.

Mixed momentum signals limit directional conviction this week

On the weekly timeframe, Berkshire remains firmly above its W1 moving averages (MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200), confirming sustained upward bias. Weekly resistance is seen at the MA-50 ($495.53) and the key round level at $500, with support provided by the Ichimoku Kijun at $492.02. Momentum indicators are mixed: the MACD issues a buy signal, RSI and CCI show mild buying tones, while Stochastic RSI warns of strong selling and overbought Bull/Bear Power suggests buyer dominance. The Awesome Oscillator and ADX both read as neutral, hinting at limited directional force and a possible pause in the trend.

High upside probability amid expected range-bound trading next week

For the next five to seven trading days, Berkshire is expected to consolidate between $490 and $505 as technical momentum and volatility moderate. The probability of a price increase is considered very high (above 80%), with current signs favoring further upside unless critical support at $490 is breached. A bullish breakout above $505 could pave the way for a move toward the $510 area, while a failed hold of $490 would likely trigger a retracement to the mid-$480s. Momentum convergence among indicators suggests range-bound trading is the baseline scenario.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that Berkshire Hathaway eased back 0.89% this week but maintained its position above key weekly moving averages. He views this as a sign of persistent bullish momentum in the medium term, but highlights that mixed momentum signals and a neutral ADX suggest fading conviction. Kharitonov sees Berkshire’s portfolio adjustment — reducing Apple exposure but diversifying into new names — as a prudent move, offering some insulation but not a catalyst for short-term upside. Resistance remains firm near $500, and support at $490 is crucial. He believes consolidation between $490 and $505 is the base case, with a high chance for further gains unless support fails. "With momentum wavering, I remain cautious — if $490 gives way, the risk of a pullback toward $480s rises materially."

Previously it was reported that Berkshire Hathaway Inc. remains in a bullish technical posture, trading above its 20-, 50-, and 200-week moving averages while consolidating in a narrow range with support around $492 and resistance near $505. Momentum indicators such as RSI and CCI show moderate strength, but overbought signals and a low ADX suggest caution as the stock is likely to remain range-bound over the coming week.

Source of Data: BRK.B Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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