Palantir stock price forecast: Momentum signals flag caution as PLTR trades below key moving averages

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Palantir gains 3.14% today to $141.87

Highlights

Palantir secured a long-term contract extension with Stellantis to expand AI and data platform adoption through 2031.
Q4 FY25 revenue surged 70% year-over-year to $1.41 billion, with US commercial revenue growing 137% and contract value at $4.3 billion.
PLTR trades below key moving averages with persistent oversold signals, targeting a $134–$148 range and downside bias prevailing.

Expanded Stellantis deal and robust earnings drive revenue momentum

Palantir has expanded its partnership with Stellantis, extending their collaboration through 2031, as Stellantis will broaden the use of Palantir Foundry and introduce the Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform across its operations. The company reported strong Q4 FY25 financials, with revenue climbing 70% year-over-year to $1.41 billion and US commercial revenue up 137%, while quarterly total contract value reached $4.3 billion. Additional highlights include joint work with Anduril on missile defense software and the rollout of a custom IRS tool designed to enhance audit targeting and fraud detection.

Oversold technical signals as resistance and weak momentum persist

PLTR is trading below the MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200, confirming technical resistance across short-, medium-, and long-term horizons. The Ichimoku Kijun level at $144.39 serves as immediate resistance, while momentum signals (MACD and ADX) are neutral to weak, lacking a clear trend. Oscillators show strong oversold signals, with RSI at 38.63, CCI at -259.93, Stoch RSI at 0.00, and BBP further reflecting seller dominance. Although there was a gap up at today’s open ($139.57 vs. previous close $137.55) and price currently trades near the session high with moderate intraday volatility, divergences in momentum indicators suggest a potential reversal may be brewing.

Sideways or lower bias likely as breakout risk remains limited

Over the next five sessions, the expected volatility band is $134 to $148. The likelihood of a sustained move above current levels is below 20%, implying a greater chance of sideways or downward action. Baseline scenario: PLTR trades between $134 and $148. A close above the Kijun resistance at $144.39 could trigger a move to $148, while a drop below $139.11 risks extension toward $134 if sellers keep control.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, Traders Union expert, views Palantir’s strengthened partnerships and robust Q4 growth as strong fundamentals supporting long-term potential. He notes the technicals remain bearish for now, with downside pressure and resistance capping the price near $144.39. Short-term volatility is likely to persist, but the analyst believes the fundamental story keeps upside scenarios open. "If Palantir holds above $139.11 and builds momentum off expanding contracts, the stage is set for a constructive move toward $148 despite short-term resistance."

Earlier, analysts noted that Palantir exhibited unresolved technical weakness and persistent seller pressure, despite positive contract momentum. The latest analysis reinforces this view, as new financial strength and expanded partnerships have yet to shift the prevailing bearish structure, making $144.39 a pivotal resistance level for any potential move higher in the near term.

Source of Data: PLTR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.