Intel jumps on Apple foundry hopes: Can INTC reach new highs?

Intel jumps on Apple foundry hopes: Can INTC reach new highs?
Intel jumps on Apple foundry hopes: Can INTC reach new highs?

​Intel shares surged more than 8% after Donald Trump stated that Apple would cooperate with Intel on chip development and manufacturing in the United States.

The primary driver behind the rally is the expectation that Apple could become a major customer of Intel Foundry. However, neither Apple nor Intel has disclosed detailed terms of any potential agreement, and the market is currently reacting more to political statements and expectations than to confirmed facts.

A partnership with Apple could become an important vote of confidence in Intel's manufacturing capabilities and potentially generate substantial future revenue.

If Apple ultimately chooses to manufacture part of its chip portfolio through Intel, it could strengthen the investment case for INTC and boost confidence in U.S.-based semiconductor production.

However, several important questions remain unanswered. It is still unclear which chips Intel could manufacture, in what volumes, and how quickly such a partnership would translate into revenue growth.

According to Barron's, some analysts believe Apple may be evaluating Intel's 18A-P process technology for future chips. Nevertheless, concerns remain regarding Intel's ability to compete with TSMC in terms of yield and manufacturing efficiency.

INTC approaches record high as momentum builds 

The scenario outlined in previous analysis has fully played out. After breaking above and successfully retesting the upper boundary of a bullish flag pattern, Intel shares have continued their upward momentum.

There is a strong probability that INTC will reach a new all-time high today.

Beyond that point, price action will likely be driven largely by psychological levels, with $150 representing the next major target.

However, investors should remain extremely cautious. The stock is currently trading more than 137% above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), while the RSI (14) has formed a bearish divergence.

If the rumored partnership with Apple fails to materialize, the stock could experience a significant correction. In that scenario, the 50-day SMA near $100 becomes a potential downside target.

Intel still needs to prove its turnaround story

Despite the strong news-driven momentum, Intel's fundamental risks remain intact.

The company continues to compete with TSMC in the contract chip manufacturing market, and investors have yet to receive definitive proof that Intel Foundry can scale production for major customers while maintaining attractive profit margins.

In addition, part of the recent rally is already based on expectations of political support and potential strategic partnerships. This leaves the stock vulnerable to delays, clarifications, or less ambitious details regarding any future agreement with Apple.

The current rally appears justified from a momentum perspective, but further upside will require concrete evidence in the form of production orders, manufacturing timelines, improving margins, and proof that Intel's process technology can compete effectively at scale.

At present, Intel remains one of the most compelling turnaround stories in the semiconductor sector. However, after such a sharp rally, the stock has become increasingly vulnerable to profit-taking.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.
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