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U.S.-Iran tensions keep stock futures steady as oil prices rise

U.S.-Iran tensions keep stock futures steady as oil prices rise
Tensions boost oil, steady stocks

Geopolitical risks are setting the tone for the start of the trading week as investors assess renewed military escalation in the Middle East. The moves come at the close of June, with crude advancing and major U.S. equity indexes showing sharply different monthly performances.

Highlights

  • Stock futures remain flat Sunday as U.S.-Iran tensions escalate, with new American strikes on Iranian military targets and threats from President Donald Trump.
  • Negotiations to end the Middle East conflict are paused, but diplomatic channels remain open with representatives in Switzerland awaiting further developments.
  • Brent oil rises 0.9% to $72.70 and WTI climbs 1.3% to $70.09, amplifying late-June market pressure as sector rotation persists and S&P 500 falls 3% for the month.

Middle East escalation shapes market outlook

As reported by CNBC, stock futures are little changed on Sunday after tensions between Iran and the U.S. escalate again following renewed attacks in the Middle East that threaten to prolong the war.

The U.S. attacks Iranian military targets over the weekend in retaliation for strikes by Tehran along the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump then threatens to annihilate Iran, writing in a Truth Social post that U.S. aircraft struck Iranian missile and drone storage locations and coastal radar sites for violating the ceasefire agreement again.

A Pakistani source involved in talks to end the war tells MS NOW that negotiations are on hold, although all sides are keeping representatives in Switzerland to resume discussions when the time arrives.

Oil gains add to late-June market pressure

Crude prices rise in early Sunday trading as traders weigh the potential for further disruption in the energy sector. International Brent oil climbs 0.9% to $72.70 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate futures advance 1.3% to $70.09.

Wall Street is coming off a mixed week, marked by a rotation out of technology stocks and into other parts of the market. As of Friday's close, the S&P 500 is down 3% for the month, the Nasdaq has fallen more than 6%, and the Dow has climbed more than 1% as June trading nears its end.

In our earlier coverage of the mix of political, monetary and geopolitical risks facing markets, we noted that a tentative easing in Middle East tensions had helped temper oil and inflation expectations. The piece also highlighted how UK political uncertainty and shifting expectations for interest rates and tech-sector returns were adding to volatility across stocks, bonds and household borrowing costs.

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