Utilities sector seen primed for short-term rebound as higher rates pressure stocks
A sharp deterioration in market breadth is leaving some interest rate-sensitive stocks in deeply oversold territory as Treasury yields rise. That setup is increasing the chances of a near-term relief rally in utilities over the coming weeks, with technical support emerging for selected names.
Highlights
- S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages have dropped to first-quarter lows, signaling short-term rebound potential for oversold sectors like utilities.
- DeMARK Indicators and Bollinger Band analysis reveal signs of downside exhaustion and relative oversold conditions in utilities, suggesting possible sector stabilization.
- American Electric Power with support near $117 and Atmos Energy near $157 each have over 6% upside to their 50-day moving averages, indicating attractive risk-reward setups.
Technical signals point to rebound potential
As reported by CNBC, the percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages has fallen to levels not seen since the first quarter, a sign that overall market breadth is oversold and may be nearing a short-term recovery.That backdrop could favor sectors that have been under pressure from higher rates, especially utilities. The analysis says DeMARK Indicators are showing widespread signs of short-term downside exhaustion in utility stocks, while the sector also appears oversold on a relative basis.
The ratio of the PHLX Utility Sector to the S&P 500 is at the bottom of its Bollinger Band, which suggests a period of relative stabilization could follow. A broader breadth recovery could also help rotate investor interest back toward utilities in the near term.
Support levels highlight selected utility names
American Electric Power, or AEP, is cited as one example of an electric utility stock that is oversold near support. The weekly cloud model indicates long-term support near $117, an area that may attract buyers.Atmos Energy, or ATO, is also seen as positioned for a short-term rebound as it tests key support from a Fibonacci retracement level near $157. Both stocks are described as having more than 6% upside to their 50-day moving averages, offering what the analysis views as a compelling risk-reward profile.
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