Peter Mallouk: Bond yield levels drive future returns over 50 years

Peter Mallouk: Bond yield levels drive future returns over 50 years
Bond yields predict future returns

Bond returns can be anticipated by current yield levels, according to Peter Mallouk.

He cites a 97% correlation over the past 50 years between bond starting yields and forward 7-year returns. Mallouk emphasizes that higher yields typically result in higher future returns, while lower yields lead to lower returns, framing bond investing as fundamentally mathematical.

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