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Wage growth tied to job changes has made a comeback, even though the rate of people switching jobs remains somewhat subdued. This observation was shared by Arin Dube, who pointed out the decoupling between wage growth and overall job changing activity.
The update suggests labor market dynamics are shifting, with wage momentum persisting regardless of less frequent job transitions.
Dube has previously highlighted a dysfunctional relationship between the asset market and the U.S. president as a factor influencing economic conditions. He has also suggested that comparing actual CPI to pre-pandemic forecasts could sharpen analysis of inflation trends. His recent remarks add to his ongoing observations about shifts and drivers in the labor and financial landscape.