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Otavio (Tavi) Costa: ISM report signals stagflation with rising prices and falling employment

Otavio (Tavi) Costa: ISM report signals stagflation with rising prices and falling employment
ISM report shows stagflation trend

Otavio (Tavi) Costa, portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, analyzes the latest ISM report as highly stagflationary.

Costa highlights that prices paid have surged to 3-year highs while employment levels have dropped to 2-year lows. He suggests that, if these trends continue, policymakers are likely to ease monetary policy during periods of economic weakness, even if inflation remains elevated.

Costa previously highlighted that Argentina's money supply is contracting at a double-digit rate while global credit expands. He has also flagged declining inventories and weak sector capex in the energy industry. These observations come as policymakers assess the latest signs of stagflation in the U.S. economy.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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