Core PCE rises to highest level since November 2023, Nick Timiraos estimates

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28.05.2026

Core PCE rises to highest level since November 2023, Nick Timiraos estimates — Core PCE jumps to 3.3 percent high

Nick Timiraos, chief economics correspondent at Wall Street Journal, reports that based on recent CPI and PPI data, forecasters expect the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index to have risen 0.28% in April.

This increase would bring the 12-month rate to 3.3%, the highest since November 2023. The 6-month annualized rate is projected to reach 3.8%, marking a 3-year high.

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Earlier this month, Timiraos reported that core CPI rose 0.376 percent in April, with the 12-month rate at 2.8 percent. The inflation trend has remained steady since October. In a separate report, he cited expectations that substantial disinflation may follow after one or two more strong inflation numbers, referencing comments from Bessent (link).

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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