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Phil Rosen highlights that only 27 companies in the S&P 500 currently have a forward price-to-earnings ratio above 40 times, a figure equal to the peak seen during the 2022 bear market and the 2020 COVID crash.
Despite this, the index recently closed just 1.8% below its record high, underscoring strong market momentum amid a limited number of highly valued firms.
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Rosen recently observed that the Russell 2000 gained nearly all of its 5-year rally in the past year, while the S&P 500 outperformed since 2021. He also reported that September is typically the weakest month for the S&P 500, with an average decline of 0.9% since 1975. These patterns provide additional context for the index’s current performance.