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David Ditch points to a comparison between two Social Security reform plans. He highlights that by 2060, a benefit-reduction approach would reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio by more than twice as much as one focused on tax increases.
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Ditch has previously warned that higher interest rates could add $1.5 trillion to U.S. deficits and slow long-term growth by 0.1% annually, according to one analysis. He has also argued that low interest rates after the 2008 debt increase postponed immediate fiscal consequences but did not eliminate them, as detailed in a separate review. His recent comparison of Social Security reform options builds on this work on interest rate and fiscal policy risks.