U.S. yields and rate hike odds briefly climb after inflation data, Mohamed A. El-Erian notes

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14.10.2026

U.S. yields and rate hike odds briefly climb after inflation data, Mohamed A. El-Erian notes — U.S. CPI climbs, yields briefly elevated

U.S. consumer price index (CPI) inflation rose 0.6% in the latest data, initially pushing U.S. yields higher and increasing market expectations for an October rate hike by the Federal Reserve.

Mohamed A. El-Erian, president of Queens' College, University of Cambridge, reported that both yields and the probability of a rate hike moderated during the trading session.

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El-Erian has recently highlighted the U.S. budget deficit nearing $2 trillion for the fiscal year ending September 30, or about 6% of GDP here. He also reported on the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield reaching 5.22 percent, its highest since 2002 here. These developments provide context for the shifts in yields following the latest inflation data.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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