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A series of economic and geopolitical issues—including conflict in Iran, oil shock, rising inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve rate hikes, 10-year yields above 5%, mortgage rates above 7%, trade tensions, record federal debt, and fears of an AI bubble—have not prevented the S&P 500 from remaining up in 2026. Peter Mallouk attributed this performance to earnings and profits, which he stated are on pace to increase 35% this year.
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Peter Mallouk previously observed that the S&P 500 has reached 1,334 all-time highs since 1957, averaging a new record roughly every 19 days. He also noted the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to 5.64 percent, its highest since 2002. These data points provide context for Mallouk’s focus on earnings growth in the current market environment.