Prediction Markets News and Updates
Kalshi odds for Marine Le Pen rise in France's 2027 presidential race
Mounting social unrest in France is driving a shift in prediction market trading around the country’s 2027 presidential election. Kalshi traders now assign Marine Le Pen a 53% chance of winning, ...
Utah lawsuit targets Kalshi, Susquehanna firms over prediction market operations
Utah is moving to shut down parts of Kalshi's prediction market business in the state, alleging the platform and affiliated trading firms are operating illegal gambling activities. The state says ...
CME flags regulatory risks as Terry Duffy prepares leadership transition
After nearly five decades at CME, Terry Duffy is discussing how financial regulation changes alongside new products such as prediction markets, 24/7 trading and perpetual futures. The conversation ...
Polymarket faces investor pressure over CEO spending controls as Kalshi gains ground
Investor scrutiny of governance at Polymarket is intensifying as the prediction-market company faces pressure to tighten financial oversight. The concerns emerge from 2025 investment talks, when ...
U.S. voters oppose election betting as prediction market dispute grows
Public opposition to wagering on elections is high in the U.S. as regulators and states continue to clash over oversight of prediction markets. A Reuters/Ipsos poll found majorities of both ...
Kalshi trade helps Los Angeles restaurant group hedge Dodgers playoff revenue risk
Los Angeles bars near Dodger Stadium are turning to alternative financial tools to manage swings in game-day demand during the baseball postseason. A hospitality group operating 25 venues used a ...
Kalshi warns U.S. prediction markets could move offshore amid state oversight fight
A legal battle over who regulates prediction markets in the U.S. is becoming a defining issue for the sector's domestic future. Kalshi Chief Executive Tarek Mansour says a state-led regime would ...
StarkWare launches private Polymarket trading service on Starknet
Growing scrutiny of onchain prediction market activity is pushing developers to offer more privacy tools for traders. StarkWare says its new OffMarket service lets Polymarket users place trades ...
U.S. election betting markets draw rising midterm trading volume
Prediction markets tied to the 2026 U.S. midterm elections are expanding rapidly as traders place more money on congressional races and increasingly detailed political outcomes. The growth is ...
Kalshi and Polymarket comparison highlights divergent private-market pricing
Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are showing sharply different private-market momentum as trading activity and investor pricing diverge in 2026. The contrast comes as both ...
BetMGM posts higher third-quarter revenue, keeps 2026 outlook unchanged
Online betting demand in the U.S. continues to support sportsbook operators as the autumn sports calendar lifts wagering activity. BetMGM reports a 7% rise in third-quarter revenue and maintains ...
Kalshi traders see U.S. inflation staying elevated through 2026
Market pricing on Kalshi suggests U.S. inflation is near its high for the year, but traders do not expect a meaningful decline in underlying price pressures anytime soon. Ahead of September ...
U.S. prediction markets face public opposition as Reuters/Ipsos poll finds bipartisan resistance
As regulators and lawmakers weigh how to oversee fast-growing prediction markets, a new national poll indicates limited public acceptance for wagering on government affairs. The survey finds ...
U.S. prediction markets dispute draws Supreme Court pressure as CFTC advances swap rules
Pressure is building around whether sports-based prediction market contracts fall under federal derivatives law or state gambling oversight. New Supreme Court briefs from states, tribal nations ...
Kalshi investigates trades tied to Trump press secretary pick
Questions over the use of politically sensitive information in prediction markets are intensifying after a handful of Kalshi wagers correctly anticipated Donald Trump's choice for White House ...
Gulf sports investment faces setbacks as NFL challenges prediction markets
A weaker backdrop for sports investment is exposing risks across Gulf-backed assets and newer betting-linked business models. Pressure is building from geopolitics, failed capital deployments and ...
CFTC moves to classify certain event contracts as swaps
The U.S. derivatives regulator is seeking public feedback on a proposal to more explicitly define some event contracts as swaps under federal rules. The move covers contracts tied to sports, ...
Prediction markets offer signals for investors and risk managers
As legal and regulatory debates continue around event-based trading, prediction markets are drawing fresh attention for the quality of the information embedded in their prices. Their structure can ...
NBA seeks prediction market data access as integrity concerns grow
Sports leagues are pushing for tighter oversight of prediction market contracts as legal and regulatory scrutiny intensifies in the U.S. The NBA says access to trading data would help it detect ...
Kalshi traders keep betting on high U.S. gas prices before November vote
Energy market anxiety remains elevated ahead of the U.S. midterm vote, even after President Donald Trump says he will not attack Iran before Election Day. Prediction market pricing suggests ...
GAO to investigate CFTC staffing cuts amid rising crypto oversight demands
Federal scrutiny is intensifying over workforce reductions at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as the agency faces expanding responsibilities in cryptocurrency and prediction markets. The ...
