US dollar to Nigerian Naira Signals and Price Predictions

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Nigeria is one of the poorest countries in Africa. There are ongoing armed conflicts in the country. Many political events or decisions lead to armed conflicts among the population. The exchange rate of the national currency is regulated manually. In 2016, the Central Bank abandoned the fixed exchange rate in favor of holding foreign exchange auctions among banks. However, the monetary policy remained non-transparent. Due to the cash shortage, the exchange rate on the black market is almost twice as high as the official one.

1

Recommendation for USD/NGN on the 15M timeframe is Strong Sell.

2

Recommendation for USD/NGN on the 1H timeframe is Sell.

3

Recommendation for USD/NGN on the 1D timeframe is Strong Buy.

In June 2023, the Central Bank made a radical decision to switch to a floating exchange rate, as a result of which naira immediately depreciated by almost 2 times. But this did not solve the problem of the black market, since the currency remained practically inaccessible to the population. Analysts are betting on continued devaluation.


In our article, you will be able to learn the latest price forecasts and signals on the USD/NGN currency exchange rate for 1 hour-1 week. USD/NGN forecasts and signals are based on the technical analysis indicators.

NOTE!

On this page, you will find the latest information about current prices, updated and new forecasts for short and long-term intervals:

  • Asset quotes are updated every minute.
  • Price chart is updated every minute.
  • Technical indicator data is updated according to the time frame. For example, on M5, the data is updated every 5 minutes.
  • Medium and long-term forecasts are updated every hour.

USD/NGN forecast for 1 day, 1 week, 1 month

USD/NGN forecast by TU is prepared automatically on the basis of technical analysis of moving averages and indicators for each timeframe (interval) separately. Select the timeframe you need to find out USD/NGN price prediction for today.

NOTE!

Signals may differ on different timeframes. If you want to hold the USD/NGN for longer than 1 week/1 month, it is best to use the signals on daily and weekly timeframes. Timeframes from 5 minutes to 1 hour are best suitable for short-term transactions.

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Indicator Based Technical Analysis of USD/NGN

To find a better entry point, also find out what TradingView technical analysis tool signals for the US Dollar to Nigerian Naira currency exchange rate. "Sell" or "Strong Sell" means that most of the signals are bearish. "Buy" or "Strong Buy" means that most of the signals are bullish. For short-term signals, it is recommended to use settings from 15 minutes to 2 hours. For long-term signals, it is recommended to use settings from 4 hours to 1 week.

USD/NGN Chart Online

What Influences USD/NGN Long-term Price Forecast

The main factor affecting the cost of naira is politics and the political-military situation. Without political stability, the Central Bank and the government cannot apply classical financial instruments, stabilize exports, and attract foreign capital to the country.


Key factors impacting the USD/NGN price:

  • The degree of government involvement in manual rate management. Despite the fact that the Central Bank of Nigeria abandoned the fixed exchange rate back in 2016, it continues to use administrative tools. Therefore, the Nigerian naira is considered an unpredictable currency with high risks. Manual management of the official rate does not apply to the black market, where naira is much cheaper. For example, at the beginning of 2023, at the official exchange rate of about 450 naira for $1, the price of $1 was about 750 naira on the black market;
  • Military conflicts. The country has constant military confrontations that hinder exports and destabilize the situation;
  • Oil prices. Nigeria is one of the leading oil producers in Africa. The lower the cost of oil, the lower the revenues to the budget.

There is an acute shortage of cash dollars in the country, because export volumes are insignificant, foreign investors are not interested in the currency, and there is no international support.

Latest exchange rates online

Price prediction methodology

The following tools and instruments were used for making the prediction:


Basic instruments of technical analysis. The forecast relies on basic technical indicators. The analysis was performed mostly on medium and long-term time frames for more accurate results.

Chart analysis. Analysis comprises a review of key levels of support, resistance, trend lines, as well as patterns formed on different time frames.

Statistical tools help evaluate a probability of a fundamental factor that could impact the price, its nature and intensity of impact.

Methods of mathematical and statistical analysis; modeling, adaptive forecasting methods.

Expert opinions and consensus forecast.

NOTE!

This forecast is based on current information and data of previous periods. Emergence of strong fundamental factors capable of radically changing the overall market trend and subsequent price trend is possible. The forecasts are updated regularly based on the latest data.

This article is created for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Be aware of the high volatility of cryptocurrencies and consider these risks when making investment decisions.

FAQs

How much is $1 to naira in the black market?

After the transition to a floating exchange rate in June 2023, the official USD/NGN rate almost doubled, approaching the black market rate. Now the difference between them is up to 10%.

What is the Nigerian naira exchange rate today?

The naira exchange rate depends on political factors and manual control of the Central Bank, so it is difficult to make any long-term forecast. Currently, the rate is NGN 1,382.5 for $1.

What is the naira forecast for 2024?

Most analysts assume that the Nigerian naira will continue to depreciate against the dollar.

When should I buy Nigerian naira?

In the near future, buying a Nigerian naira hardly makes sense. The country has created all the prerequisites for further devaluation, which are the lack of a cash dollar, armed conflicts, and lack of transparency in the regulation of the exchange rate.