US dollar to Turkish Lira Signals and Price Predictions

Share this:
Disclaimer

Disclaimer

All information on this page is published ‘as is’ and for information purposes alone. The information is not intended for trading or advice of financial, investment, tax, legal, accounting or any kind of nature. Before starting to trade, please contact your broker or a financial advisor to check the quotes, evaluate forecasts or the opinion of the author of the article. Our company is not an investment consultant, financial advisor or a broker for transactions involving securities. No information shall be viewed as investment advice, recommendation or offer of our company to buy, hold or sell securities or financial products. Our company does not provide guarantees and does not express opinions about appropriateness or suitability of investments.

No information shall be regarded as investment advice (general or individual). Financial products or transactions mentioned in such information may not be suitable for your investment portfolio and may not meet your investment targets and expectations. You are solely responsible for any decision regarding financial products or transactions and you shall independently determine whether they are suitable for you, taking into account your interests, investment targets, investment horizon and tolerable risk level. Our company shall not bear any responsibility for the losses caused by financial transactions or investments in financial products mentioned on our website. We do not recommend making investment decisions guided solely by this information.

The information on our website is provided by stock exchanges, brokers and other content providers, and, in some cases, may arrive with a delay. Our company does not verify such information and shall waive any liability related to it.

Our company and our information and content providers, financial exchanges, brokers and also all affiliated companies and business partners: a) expressly waive any responsibility for the accuracy, validity and completeness of any data; b) shall not be liable for any mistakes, omissions or other flaws on such information, for delays and interruptions in their display, as well as for actions taken based on such information. Neither our company nor our information providers shall be liable for the damage caused by the use of the information provided here. The term ‘business partners’ in this case shall not imply any partnership or agency relationships as well as the creation of a joint venture between our company and any other organization.

You hereby confirm that you shall not copy, modify, reformat, download, store, reproduce, process, transfer or distribute any information published here or use such information for commercial purposes without prior written consent.

Traders Union as well as its external information and content providers retain exclusive copyright to the provided information.

Our company shall not be liable for the products and services advertised on our website.

General websites Disclaimer:

Traders Union (tradersunion.com) shall not be liable for the consequences of trading decisions made by the Client and for the possible loss of his capital resulting from the use of this website and information published on it. Forex market, CFD and cryptocurrency trading involves high risks and is not suitable for everyone. Before investing money, you need to adequately assess the level of your expertise and be aware of the risks, particularly in the context of trading with leverage. The information on this website is not intended for distribution or use by any person in any country or jurisdiction, where such distribution or use would be in violation of the local law or regulation. Any payments by Traders Union (TradersUnion.com) to the users of our website shall be legally interpreted solely as an incentive on our part for the activity on the website in the form of a deduction of a part of the advertising income; they shall not be a subject of any claims of our users or our obligations, a subject of disputes, as well as cannot be considered in relation to the services provided to users by brokers, both in fact and in their completeness and volume. The administration of the website shall not be liable for the content of user comments and reviews about the companies and shall not verify whether the authors of the reviews are indeed real clients of a specific company. All reviews, both negative and positive are published on the website without verification of their reliability; only offensive reviews that call for violence or any kind of discrimination and also reviews published from one group of IP addresses are moderated and removed. The authors of the materials shall be fully liable for the accuracy, completeness and impartiality of any information in the articles and reviews, including in the context of their use or mention of any brand names or trademarks. All mentions of the names of companies and their brands in any materials on the website shall be made in the context of communication of socially important information to the people about their activities by independent journalists, who are the authors. All evaluations and indicators on the website express the subjective opinion of the authors of the reviews (articles) and shall not be viewed as accurate statements and be a subject of disputes and claims against Traders Union.

Risk disclosure:

Information on the TradersUnion.com website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute any motive or suggestion to visitors to invest money. Moreover, we hereby warn you that trading on the Forex and CFD markets is always a high risk. According to the statistics, 75-89% of customers lose the funds invested and only 11-25% of traders earn a profit.

That is why you should only invest money that you are prepared — or can afford — to lose at such high risks. Tradersunion.com does not provide any financial services, including investment or financial advisory services. Also, the Traders Union is not a broker and does not get money for trading in the Forex or CFD markets. Our website only provides information on brokers and the markets and helps its users to select the best brokerage company based on detailed information and objective analysis of brokers.

Start Trading USD/TRY
Your capital is at risk.

eToro - Best Broker to Trade USD/TRY

USD/TRY is an exotic currency pair. It has a relatively high volatility, and is considered an instrument with increased risk. The peculiarity of this pair is the strong direct impact on its price from the Central bank and the state, which are conducting an unconventional monetary policy. For this reason, the Turkish lira is considered a currency that is difficult to predict.

1

Recommendation for USD/TRY on the 15M timeframe is Sell.

2

Recommendation for USD/TRY on the 1H timeframe is Strong Sell.

3

Recommendation for USD/TRY on the 1D timeframe is Buy.

In the past five years, the Turkish lira has been steadily dropping against the US dollar. TRY devalues at a rate of 50-150% per year. In December 2021, President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced a state-backed scheme to protect lira deposits, with a promise to compensate the loss caused by devaluation. In the past five years, this was the only fundamental factor that led to TRY strengthening by 15%. The rest of the time frame shows a flat or lira devaluation.


The chances for the reversal of the USD/TRY upward trend remain under condition of the return to the traditional economy management model.


In our article, you will be able to learn the latest price forecasts and signals on the USD/TRY currency exchange rate for 1 hour-1 week. USD/TRY forecasts and signals are based on the technical analysis indicators.

NOTE!

On this page, you will find the latest information about current prices, updated and new forecasts for short and long-term intervals:

  • Asset quotes are updated every minute.
  • Price chart is updated every minute.
  • Technical indicator data is updated according to the time frame. For example, on M5, the data is updated every 5 minutes.
  • Medium and long-term forecasts are updated every hour.

USD/TRY forecast for 1 day, 1 week, 1 month

USD/TRY forecast by TU is prepared automatically on the basis of technical analysis of moving averages and indicators for each timeframe (interval) separately. Select the timeframe you need to find out USD/TRY price prediction for today.

NOTE!

Signals may differ on different timeframes. If you want to hold the USD/TRY for longer than 1 week/1 month, it is best to use the signals on daily and weekly timeframes. Timeframes from 5 minutes to 1 hour are best suitable for short-term transactions.

EARN FROM TRADING
Your capital is at risk.

Best Broker Recommended for Trading USD/TRY

Suitable for those who want to earn a profit from price fluctuations.

BUY TO HOLD
Your capital is at risk.

Best Broker Recommended for Holding USD/TRY

Suitable for those who want to invest for the long term.

Indicator Based Technical Analysis of USD/TRY

To find a better entry point, also find out what TradingView technical analysis tool signals for the US Dollar to Turkish Lira currency exchange rate. "Sell" or "Strong Sell" means that most of the signals are bearish. "Buy" or "Strong Buy" means that most of the signals are bullish. For short-term signals, it is recommended to use settings from 15 minutes to 2 hours. For long-term signals, it is recommended to use settings from 4 hours to 1 week.

USD/TRY Chart Online

What Influences USD/TRY Long-term Price Forecast

Turkey follows an unconventional monetary policy, resulting in interest rates being kept significantly below the inflation level.


Key factors impacting the USD/TRY price:

  • Import/Export Ratio: The country’s authorities support exports, but currently, the volume of imports exceeds exports, which negatively affects the value of the lira.
  • Currency interventions. The budget deficit can be covered using foreign exchange reserves. The central bank’s policy aims to minimize the use of reserves, which weakens the lira.
  • Change of the interest rate. In theory, increasing the interest rate can help curb inflation.
  • Inflation Spiral. Consumers anticipate that the lira will depreciate, which means a hike in prices for domestic goods. They start buying goods in advance, which further drives prices up due to increased demand.
  • Speculative carry trade operations related to low central bank interest rates.
  • Tourist Season: A cheap lira is attractive to foreign tourists who pay with foreign currency. During the summer season, there may be an increase in the inflow of foreign currency, which can temporarily support the depreciating lira.

Analysts believe that monetary policy that involves gradual reduction of interest rates in the face of high inflation will continue to cause the lira to reach all-time lows. To restrain devaluation, significantly different monetary policies or manual exchange rate management could be employed.

Latest exchange rates online

Price prediction methodology

The following tools and instruments were used for making the prediction:


Basic instruments of technical analysis. The forecast relies on basic technical indicators. The analysis was performed mostly on medium and long-term time frames for more accurate results.

Chart analysis. Analysis comprises a review of key levels of support, resistance, trend lines, as well as patterns formed on different time frames.

Statistical tools help evaluate a probability of a fundamental factor that could impact the price, its nature and intensity of impact.

Methods of mathematical and statistical analysis; modeling, adaptive forecasting methods.

Expert opinions and consensus forecast.

NOTE!

This forecast is based on current information and data of previous periods. Emergence of strong fundamental factors capable of radically changing the overall market trend and subsequent price trend is possible. The forecasts are updated regularly based on the latest data.

This article is created for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Be aware of the high volatility of cryptocurrencies and consider these risks when making investment decisions.

FAQs

What is the USD TRY forecast?

After the Turkish lira reached its all-time low, analyst forecasts have remained cautious. There are still factors indicating the potential for further depreciation of the lira (an increase in the USD/TRY exchange rate), but at a slower pace. On the other hand, there is a possibility that in his new presidential term, Recep Tayyip Erdogan may revert to a more conventional monetary policy, which could partially support the Turkish lira.

What is the prediction for USD to TRY?

Turkey has an export-oriented economy. The monetary policy aims to contain inflation through increasing proceeds from exports, while the central bank continues to gradually lower the interest rate. The low exchange rate of lira is beneficial to exporters, but with an average annual economic growth of around 8%, inflation exceeds 35%. Furthermore, the country experiences an excess of imports over exports, which also contributes to the depreciation of the currency. Experts are cautious in their forecasts and are more inclined to believe that the lira will continue to depreciate in the short term.

Is the Turkish lira expected to rise?

The value of the Turkish lira may rise, if the country reverts to the traditional monetary policy that involves increasing the interest rate to curb inflation while reducing government interference and budget deficit.

When should I buy Turkish Lira?

It will make sense buying the lira when the question of the budget deficit is resolved and the inflation is curbed.