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Invesco says recent market gains are not too good to be true, according to Chief Global Market Strategist Brian Levitt.
Levitt supports this view by pointing to strong earnings growth. He also cites the current stance of the Federal Reserve.
At $27.64, IVZ is trading above its MA-20 ($27.41), MA-50 ($25.64), and MA-200 ($24.88), signaling sustained bullish momentum across short, medium, and long-term trends. The Ichimoku Kijun level stands at $26.67, which sits below the current price and acts as immediate support; near-term support is found at the MA-20 ($27.41) and Ichimoku Kijun ($26.67), while key support comes in at the MA-50 ($25.64). The closest resistance is at the MA-5/EMA-5 cluster ($27.89–$27.80) and key resistance aligns with MA-10 SMA ($27.43) and further with MA-100 ($26.04), though both are now below price, leaving upside targets to be recalibrated if momentum builds.
Momentum indicators on D1 remain mixed. MACD signals "Strong Buy," but ADX shows weak trend strength. RSI and CCI both indicate mild buying pressure, with RSI at 56 and CCI at 60, though Stoch RSI is in sell territory (24.64), and BBP signals an overbought market, reflecting strong but potentially exhausted buyer dominance. Awesome Oscillator is supportive of further gains, yet oscillator divergence hints at possible short-term hesitation. IVZ is trading at $27.64, down from $28.48 a week ago, reflecting a 2.90% decline. The price sits in the lower part of the weekly range, with weekly volatility at 5.9%. The tone for the week has been a steady decline from recent highs.
For the coming week, the projected range for IVZ is $27.00 to $28.30, keeping within 5% of the current price and aligned with typical weekly volatility. Probability of a price increase is very high (more than 80%) based on bullish signals from RSI-W1, ADX-W1, MACD-W1, and MA-50-W1, making a downside move less likely. The baseline scenario points to range-bound trading between $27.00 and $28.30. An upside breakout above $28.30 could trigger a test of the year’s highs, while a break below $27.00 would expose the stock to further pullbacks toward weekly support. This next week’s range remains anchored well above the 52-week low ($14.17) and just below the 52-week high ($29.61), confirming ongoing medium-term strength.
In a recent review, analysts noted that Invesco was experiencing sustained downside pressure amid persistent bearish sentiment and external market uncertainties. With both macro risks and technical conditions still in play, investors should closely watch for a decisive move above resistance or a break below established support to signal the next directional trend.