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Cboe Global Markets reported a sharp rise in equity volatility, with the VIX Index increasing by more than 6 points week over week to reach 21.5 percent.
The VIX Index moved from the 14th percentile low to the 86th percentile high. Implied correlation also increased, with the COR1M Index more than doubling to 15 percent.
CBOE is trading at $278.17, well below the MA-20 ($337.59) and MA-50 ($316.81), but slightly above the MA-200 ($272.76). This setup signals strong short- and medium-term bearish momentum, while the area near MA-200 may offer longer-term technical support. The Ichimoku Kijun on D1 sits at $320.57, which acts as immediate resistance. For levels to watch, near-term support is identified at the MA-200 ($272.76), with key support at the MA-100 ($299.15). Immediate resistance is at the Ichimoku Kijun ($320.57), while the next key resistance is the MA-20 ($337.59).
Momentum indicators on D1 reflect prevailing seller pressure, with both MACD and ADX signaling continued downside. RSI and Stoch RSI point to oversold conditions, as does CCI, hinting at a potential for short-term stabilization despite the bearish streak. BBP reinforces the dominance of sellers in intraday dynamics. The Awesome Oscillator also supports this move lower. CBOE has fallen $3.74 (1.42%) over the past week from a prev_week_close of $281.91, placing it in the lower part of the weekly range. Weekly volatility stands at 10.76%, with the price moving steadily off this week’s high. In today’s session, the price slipped 1.33%, underscoring persistent selling pressure.
For the next week, a realistic forecast range falls between $272 and $285, given recent volatility and current price action, which remains well above the 52-week low ($218.58) but significantly below the 52-week high ($371.18). The probability of a price increase is very low (less than 20%), making further declines more likely based on only one "Buy" signal among key W1 indicators. The baseline scenario anticipates sideways movement within this range. A bullish scenario would require a break above $285, potentially testing the area near $299. Resistance remains strong given the momentum. A bearish scenario would unfold if price drops below MA-200 ($272.76), exposing downside risk toward the mid-$260s before any potential rebound.
Earlier, analysts noted that Cboe Global Markets was experiencing persistent downside pressure, with expectations for continued consolidation unless a significant breakout or breakdown occurred. This article builds on that outlook by highlighting the importance of monitoring for a decisive move beyond current support or resistance levels, as such a breakout may define the next major trend for CBOE shares.