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Cboe Global Markets took part in TraderFest, an event hosted by Tradier that brought together traders and industry leaders. The company addressed developments in the options market at the event.
Cboe Global Markets’ Henry Schwartz provided insights into the current state of the options industry. The event emphasized the growing speed of the market, improved trading tools, and the importance of discipline.
CBOE is trading at $287.85, well below both its MA-20 at $334.20 and MA-50 at $316.82, but moderately above MA-200 at $272.90. This setup signals persistent short- and medium-term bearish pressure, with longer-term trends stabilizing above major support. The immediate Ichimoku Kijun level stands at $320.57, which serves as immediate resistance. Near-term support is seen at MA-200 ($272.90), with key support at MA-100 ($299.29). Near-term resistance comes from MA-50 ($316.82), and the next key resistance is aligned with the Ichimoku Kijun at $320.57.
Momentum on D1 remains weak, with MACD and ADX both in bearish territory. RSI at 30.37, CCI at –130.74, Stoch RSI near 10, and BBP at –27.92 all point to pronounced oversold conditions and dominant seller pressure. The Awesome Oscillator also supports a bearish tone. CBOE has risen $5.94 (2.06%) over the past week, trading at $287.85, up from $281.91 a week ago, with the price near the top of its weekly range. Weekly volatility stands at 6.59%, and the tone reflects a recovery from recent lows. In today’s session, the stock gained 2.69%, highlighting buyer interest after an oversold plunge.
For the coming week, the expected price range is $276 to $297, anchored around the present level and reflecting a realistic move given recent volatility and the 52-week band ($219.27–$371.18). The probability of a price increase is very low (less than 20%), with a price decrease more likely, given only one bullish signal out of four on W1 momentum indicators. The baseline expectation is for CBOE to consolidate in a sideways corridor. A bullish scenario would see a break above resistance at $316–$320, though momentum does not favor an upside move. Conversely, a break below support at $272 would likely trigger further declines given prevailing bearish signals.
Earlier, analysts noted that Cboe Global Markets was under sustained downside pressure, with expectations for continued consolidation unless a decisive breakout occurred. This article reassesses that outlook and highlights a critical inflection point where traders should watch for renewed momentum to establish the next directional trend.