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Cboe Global Markets welcomed leading educator and author Shelly Natenberg and a group of client interns to the trading floor for this morning's Opening Bell.
Shelly Natenberg is known for his book Option Volatility & Pricing. The participants are involved with The Options Institute.
CBOE is currently trading at $250.17, which sits well below the MA-20 ($268.89), MA-50 ($308.17), and MA-200 ($274.91). This configuration signals persistent downside pressure across the short, medium, and long-term trends. The Ichimoku Kijun on D1 is at $294.21, labeling this level as immediate resistance for the price. Near-term support is found at the MA-10 ($249.34), while key support is at the MA-100 ($291.66). Immediate resistance stands at the Ichimoku Kijun ($294.21), with key resistance at the MA-200 ($274.91).
Momentum indicators show a prevailing bearish bias: MACD on D1 remains negative and signals "Sell", while ADX on D1 at 34.31 also leans "Sell", confirming trend strength but tilted downward. RSI on D1 is at 32.27, CCI at -110.70, and BBP at -15.26, all in oversold or bearish classifications, suggesting strong selling dominance. Stoch RSI, conversely, points to a "Strong Buy," reflecting a short-term potential for technical bounce, indicating a divergence among oscillators. The weekly picture reinforces this: CBOE has risen $7.96 (3.39%) over the past week, currently at the very top of its weekly range, with volatility standing at 11.97%. In today's session, the stock is posting a strong move up (3.09% daily gain), further pressuring resistance levels. The tone for the week is a clear recovery from the recent lows, but underlying momentum and oscillators continue to warn of structural weakness.
Looking into the coming week, the expected price range is $240 to $260, which keeps CBOE's price between the recent weekly low of $227.15 and well under the 52-week high of $371.18. The probability of a further increase is very low (less than 20%), as most W1 trend and momentum indicators (RSI, ADX, MACD, MA-50) remain bearish. Price stability within this corridor is the baseline scenario. Upside attempts face strong resistance at $274 to $294, and a bullish breakthrough would require sustained buying pressure above these levels. A bearish scenario would see the price retreating below $249 toward key support around $241 to $245. Despite the brief weekly rebound, the combination of weak trend indicators and oversold oscillators suggests a confined, choppy trading environment, with downside risks remaining more likely.
Previously it was reported that Cboe Global Markets faced ongoing bearish pressure with little indication of a near-term reversal. As the current landscape evolves, traders should remain attentive to potential shifts in momentum that could define the next direction, with a focus on identifying any breakout or breakdown signals.