AB price prediction: deeper losses? AB drops 12.21% amid strong bearish trends

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AB/USD slides 12.21% in today's trade

Highlights

AB trades well below its MA-20 at $0.00588175, MA-50 at $0.00619730, and MA-200 at $0.00823722, confirming strong downside pressure across all timeframes.
Momentum remains bearish, with daily ADX above 31, negative MACD, D1 RSI at 35.94, and CCI at -83.04, while intraday losses reach 12.21% with high volatility.
AB is expected to consolidate between $0.00425 and $0.00560 over the next five days, with over 80% probability of further price declines.

Bearish momentum persists amid strong trend and neutral oscillators

Momentum signals remain bearish, with both D1 and weekly MACD and RSI pointing to ongoing selling strength and downtrend persistence. The daily ADX is above 31 and signals trend strength, but with a bearish bias due to negative MACD, while D1 RSI at 35.94 and CCI at -83.04 suggest the market is approaching but not yet deeply oversold — Stochastic RSI is neutral, indicating that the sell-off is losing some momentum. Bull/Bear Power is negative, confirming that sellers dominate intraday, and the Awesome Oscillator is neutral, reflecting the lack of clear bullish reversals. The price opened slightly lower than the previous close (no meaningful gap) and has traded toward the bottom of today’s range, losing 12.21% so far, with high intraday volatility and sustained pressure after the open. Momentums confirm the weak tone, and the predominance of bearish signals is not contradicted by oscillators.

Range-bound consolidation expected as bearish risks remain elevated

Over the next five trading days, the expected price range is likely to remain between $0.00425 and $0.00560, aligning with recent daily volatility and the need for normalization. The probability of further price declines is very high (more than 80%), while an upward movement is much less likely. The baseline scenario sees AB consolidating sideways within this volatility band. For a bullish scenario, a decisive move above $0.00560 would suggest an attempt to challenge resistance levels near the Ichimoku Kijun, while a bearish scenario would see the price breaking below $0.00425, opening the door to further declines. Traders should remain cautious, as the technical outlook currently favors sellers.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, Traders Union expert, sees that AB is under broad technical pressure and remains below key moving averages. He notes that momentum is persistently bearish, but the sell-off is showing initial signs of exhaustion. The range between $0.00425 and $0.00560 defines the tactical landscape, with strong downside risk. While no fresh news shifts sentiment, Karapetjanc believes a reversal could spark if resistance levels are challenged. "If AB can reclaim $0.00560 decisively and hold, there could be an attractive opportunity for bullish traders — but I’d wait for proven momentum first."

Previously it was reported that AB remained under persistent pressure, trading well below its short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages, with oscillators like RSI and CCI indicating oversold conditions and sellers dominating momentum. Downside risks persisted due to a lack of support from key averages and the Ichimoku Kijun level acting as dynamic resistance — sellers dominating momentum throughout the session.

Source of Data: AB Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.