XRP price prediction: Sideways trading likely as XRP gains but remains under key resistances

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XRP rises 1.45% to $1.8667 today

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Yaroslav Dmytrenko

25.12.2025

XRP is trading at $1.8667, solidly below the MA-20 ($1.9638), MA-50 ($2.1086), and MA-200 ($2.5832), confirming bearish pressure across short-, medium-, and long-term trends. Dynamic resistance now sits at the Ichimoku Kijun level ($1.9971), while the closest support is near today’s lower range and recent session lows.

XRP price prediction

24H 2.27%

$1.187

48H 5.1%

$1.2198

7D -9.56%

$1.0496

1M -5.52%

$1.0965

3M 84.71%

$2.1437

6M 74.42%

$2.0243

12M 6.69%

$1.2383

Detailed

Current price: $ 1.1606 -0.0507 4.19%

Real-time Data 22:15

Daily range 1.1423

1.2116

Weekly range 1.1868

1.3661

Highlights

Ripple secured conditional U.S. trust-bank approvals and settled a major SEC lawsuit with a significant penalty, advancing regulatory clarity for XRP.
XRP saw $1.13 billion in ETF inflows and a decline in Binance XRP reserves, signaling reduced selling by large holders.
The XRP Ledger piloted quantum-resistant transaction technology, potentially strengthening its digital asset security and technological positioning.

Regulatory clarity and ETF inflows strengthen sentiment as reserves decline

Ripple has received conditional U.S. trust-bank approvals and resolved much of its SEC litigation by agreeing to a major penalty, marking a significant milestone for regulatory clarity. Significant ETF inflows totaling $1.13 billion have been reported alongside a decline in Binance XRP reserves, potentially indicating reduced selling activity by large holders. The XRP Ledger is also piloting quantum-resistant transaction technology, which may strengthen its technological position in digital assets.

Oversold signals emerge as downward momentum dominates technicals

Momentum signals remain negative as both MACD and ADX point to sustained downside, but there are signs of oversold conditions with daily RSI at 38, CCI at –99, and Stoch RSI trending down, suggesting limited room for further immediate declines. BBP also favors continued seller dominance, and the Awesome Oscillator is neutral, not contradicting the downtrend. After opening at $1.8616 (just above the previous close at $1.8401, indicating a minor upward gap), XRP is near the upper half of today’s range ($1.8565 – $1.8752), showing moderate intraday volatility and gentle upside pressure, although the broader momentum backdrop remains bearish.

Limited rebound prospects as downside risk anchors five-day outlook

For the next five trading days, the expected range for XRP is $1.85 – $2.07, with a baseline scenario anticipating sideways movement as selling momentum slows but no bullish reversal emerges. The probability of a price increase is very low (less than 20%), making further downside much more likely. A bullish scenario would require a convincing break above $1.997 (the Ichimoku Kijun resistance), while a bearish case would see XRP falling below $1.85, setting up a typical volatility band relative to current levels.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees the recent regulatory clarity, ETF inflows, and innovative ledger technology as positive macro and fundamental developments for XRP. He believes that while price pressure remains firmly negative in the short term, these tailwinds could limit deeper losses and set the stage for a reversal once technical sentiment improves. The sustained reduction in Binance XRP reserves reinforces a constructive outlook as selling appears to slow. However, a breakout above $1.997 is still needed for bulls to regain control. "With strong institutional interest and regulatory progress, I remain optimistic on XRP’s prospects, even if a bullish move takes time to materialize."

Last time, analysts noted that XRP entered a consolidation phase after failing to break key resistance, with technical indicators showing fading upside momentum and increased selling pressure due to whale distribution and momentum-driven exits. Looking ahead, maintaining support levels will be crucial for stability, while the absence of fresh bullish catalysts and capital rotation into other assets suggests short-term headwinds may persist.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.