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Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation has reignited debate between long-standing skeptics and advocates of institutional adoption, as renewed ETF outflows and macroeconomic uncertainty weigh on investor sentiment.
The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is trading around $68,000, well below its October all-time high of $126,000, and critics argue that a critical technical breakdown could trigger a much deeper correction similar to previous market cycles, CoinGape reports.
Schiff flags risk of fall toward $20,000
Veteran Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff has warned that a decisive break below the $50,000 level could open the door to a significantly larger selloff. He calculates that an 84% decline from the October peak would place Bitcoin near the $20,000 mark — a level not seen since earlier stages of the previous cycle.
Schiff maintains that Bitcoin’s recurring boom-and-bust pattern undermines claims that volatility is diminishing over time. He argues that sharp drawdowns are structural rather than temporary anomalies and has repeatedly questioned Bitcoin’s suitability as a reserve asset for central banks or conservative institutional portfolios. In his view, institutional participation could wane if prices enter another prolonged downturn, particularly given unrealized losses faced by high-profile corporate holders during recent corrections.
Historically, Bitcoin has experienced multiple bear markets involving declines of 70% or more, including after its 2013, 2017 and 2021 peaks. Such precedents fuel concerns among skeptics that another severe retracement cannot be ruled out if key support levels fail.
ETF flows show mixed signals
At the same time, recent exchange-traded fund data reflects near-term caution. According to SoSoValue, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $165.76 million in net outflows in the latest session, marking a third consecutive day of withdrawals. BlackRock’s IBIT accounted for the vast majority of that figure, with $164.06 million exiting the fund.
However, Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas has emphasized that the longer-term trend remains constructive. He notes that cumulative net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs still stand at roughly $53 billion. Although that figure has declined from a peak of $63 billion in October 2025, it significantly exceeds early industry forecasts, which projected between $5 billion and $15 billion over the first two years.
The divergence between short-term outflows and strong cumulative inflows suggests that institutional exposure remains substantial despite periodic retrenchment.
Read also: Bitcoin developer rejects claims that quantum computing triggered sell-off
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