Avalanche strengthens above weekly Ichimoku support but faces technical headwinds below the MA-50 – weekly report
Avalanche (AVAX) is currently trading at $9.08, representing a weekly gain as it sits just above its MA-20 of $9.01 but remains well below the MA-50 at $10.67 and MA-200 at $17.88. Over the past week, AVAX has seen upward pressure establish short-term support, although medium- and long-term trends continue to favor sellers given its position under key moving averages.
Highlights
- AVAX is trading at $9.08, just above its MA-20 at $9.01 but significantly below the MA-50 at $10.67 and MA-200 at $17.88, reflecting ongoing medium- and long-term selling pressure.
- Momentum indicators are mixed, with the daily MACD and RSI in sell mode, a high ADX favoring sellers, and Stochastic RSI overbought, suggesting uncertainty and fading intraday strength despite a recent 6.9% gain.
- Key technical range for the next 5 days is $8.00–$10.90, with low probability of a price increase and $8.95 support critical for avoiding a retest of $8.00.
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Bearish signals persist on weekly chart despite mild recovery
On the weekly chart, AVAX holds slightly above its MA-20 while staying below both the MA-50 and MA-200, highlighting persistent bearish pressure despite some recovery attempts. Weekly support is established at the Ichimoku Kijun level of $8.95, with notable resistance located at $10.67. The weekly RSI remains in sell territory, and major weekly indicators such as the MACD and ADX continue to signal trend strength favoring sellers, although recent oscillators point to a possible pause in downside momentum.
Range-bound outlook likely next week unless key levels break
For the next 5–7 trading days, AVAX is expected to consolidate between support at $8.95 and resistance at $10.67, with a projected range of $8.00–$10.90. All major weekly technical indicators remain bearish, suggesting less than a 20% chance of a short-term price increase. Continued consolidation is likely unless clear momentum emerges; a sustained break above $10.67 could trigger renewed buying, while a drop below $8.95 would turn focus toward the $8.00 support level.
Previously it was reported that Avalanche is stabilizing above short-term moving averages but remains under sustained medium- and long-term selling pressure, with mixed technical signals as momentum (MACD, ADX) stays negative and oscillators (RSI, StochRSI) offer limited near-term bullish cues. Immediate support is identified at $8.95, while the likelihood of further declines persists barring a decisive break above resistance, keeping the short-term outlook neutral within a defined trading range.
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