XRP price prediction: Will resistance hold as XRP struggles below key moving averages?

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XRP rises 0.37% to $1.3664 today

Highlights

Renewed institutional focus on XRP stems from Ripple Prime's integration into the DTCC directory, signaling deeper infrastructure adoption by large market participants.
Weekly ETF flows into XRP have declined 45% to $1.9 million, despite continued adoption of the XRP Ledger for post-trade operations such as Hidden Road’s planned migration in April 2025.
XRP trades at $1.3664 below key moving averages (MA-20 $1.4090, MA-50 $1.6351, MA-200 $2.2586), with strong bearish technical momentum and key support at $1.10.

Institutional flows and regulatory debate shape XRP sentiment post-DTCC update

Renewed investor attention to XRP follows the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) directory update, with institutional sentiment underscored by Ripple Prime's integration into the DTCC system. ETF flows into XRP persisted, although recent reports show a 45% decline in weekly inflows to $1.9 million. Additional support comes from increased adoption of the XRP Ledger in post-trade activity after Hidden Road's decision to move operations to XRPL in April 2025. Ongoing U.S. legislative debates on the Clarity Act may also influence the regulatory outlook for digital assets.

Bearish trend holds as resistance intensifies and momentum weakens

Technically, XRP remains under firm bearish pressure as it trades below all key moving averages, with the Ichimoku Kijun resistance at $1.3943 directly above. Daily momentum signals, including a strong sell on the MACD and confirmation from the ADX, reinforce the downtrend, while the RSI at 43.04 and CCI at -50.41 highlight a weakening but somewhat overbought market. The Stochastic RSI is elevated at 88.74, suggesting potential for near-term exhaustion, and Bull/Bear Power shows a slight buyer advantage that is not broadly supported by other oscillators. The Awesome Oscillator is neutral, price action is mid-range, and divergence between intraday buyers and weakening momentum signals a lack of strong conviction on the rebound.

Limited upside expected as persistent bearish signals favor further declines

Over the next five trading days, XRP is expected to trade within a $1.10–$1.63 volatility band relative to current levels. The probability of a price increase is very low (less than 20%), with further declines favored by persistent bearish signals across multiple timeframes. The baseline outlook calls for sideways movement within this range, with upside requiring a break above $1.40, and a breakdown below $1.10 potentially accelerating losses.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees constructive signals emerging for XRP despite the present technical downtrend. He notes that institutional interest and ETF inflows remain supportive, while new adoptions on the XRP Ledger and progress on U.S. digital asset regulation add to the medium-term optimism. However, he acknowledges that strong bearish pressure continues in the short term, with key resistance levels yet to be reclaimed. Karapetjanc believes fundamentals could help XRP break out of its range if sentiment improves. "If XRP can hold above $1.10 and firm news flows continue, a bullish reversal is still possible in the coming days."

Last time, analysts noted that XRP was trading near the lower boundary of its recent range, with buyers defending immediate support but lacking momentum for a decisive rebound. The technical outlook indicated key areas to watch at $1.34 for support and $1.40–$1.49 for resistance, while momentum indicators and market sentiment remained cautious amid ongoing U.S. regulatory debate and broader crypto market weakness.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.