Kaspa falls after daily gains erased by renewed selling below key moving averages

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Kaspa drops 7.46% today to $0.0367

Highlights

Kaspa maintains a bearish market structure, remaining below its 50-week moving average with no clear bottom established.
Analysts anticipate further downside risk before a sustainable base forms, as conviction for a reversal is lacking.
Technical signals show mixed short-term momentum but continued longer-term selling pressure, with support at $0.0351, resistance at $0.0374, and a likely trading range of $0.0352–$0.0374 over the next five days.

Bear market persists as price holds below major weekly resistance

Kaspa remains in a bear market structure according to a technical overview published on March 25, 2026, with its price trading below the 50-week moving average. Analysts reported that there has not yet been a convincing sign of a market bottom. An additional price decline is considered possible before any significant base formation can occur.

Bullish daily signals clash with weak price action after drop

Technical analysis shows KAS trading above the MA-20 and MA-50, indicative of ongoing short- and medium-term bullish momentum, but remaining well below the MA-200 level, which underlines continuing long-term pressure from sellers. Immediate support is noted at the Ichimoku Kijun on D1 at $0.0351. On the daily chart, momentum is positive as both MACD and ADX are on Buy signals, yet these readings are modest, suggesting the uptrend is present but not particularly strong. RSI at 64 and CCI at 99 indicate constructive conditions just below overbought, while Stoch RSI at 55 and BBP suggest buyers are currently in control; however, the AO is neutral. Today's session began with a slight gap down, with price activity now near intraday lows after a sharp 7.46% drop, exposing a divergence between bullish daily signals and weak price action.

Limited upside expected as weekly sell signals constrain moves

For the next five trading days, KAS is expected to remain within a typical volatility band, likely trading between $0.0352 and $0.0374 in a sideways pattern. The probability of an upward move above $0.0374 is low (less than 20%), as persistent weekly Sell signals remain from RSI, ADX, MACD, and the longer-term SMAs. Baseline expectations call for continued consolidation in a narrow range. A clear break below the $0.0351 support could trigger a deeper retracement, while a bullish scenario would require a sustained move above resistance at $0.0374.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees Kaspa in a vulnerable technical setup. Despite modest bullish momentum over the short and medium terms, the underlying trend remains bearish due to the persistent pressure below the MA-200. Kharitonov believes sideways action is most likely, with sellers in control unless a clear move above $0.0374 develops. "Base case remains consolidation within $0.0352–$0.0374, and I stay defensive unless $0.0374 is convincingly broken."

Earlier, analysts noted that Kaspa's short- and medium-term bullish momentum was offset by persistent long-term resistance and the potential for consolidation or renewed downside. With new evidence of weak price action despite positive daily signals, focus should shift to the risk of a breakdown below $0.0351 support as the next move that could accelerate selling pressure.

Source of Data: KAS Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.