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Bitcoin once again failed to hold above $68,800 and resumed its decline, pushing the market back into a zone of heightened anxiety. Against that backdrop, Ethereum also remains under pressure, while the Fear and Greed Index has fallen to 9, pointing to persistently extreme caution among investors.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at around $66,595 and was nearly unchanged over the past 24 hours, while Ethereum held near $2,054 with almost flat daily performance. But the apparent calm in spot prices masks a much weaker picture over recent sessions: the market is still digesting a sharp pullback from recent highs.
According to market data, after rising to $68,800, Bitcoin failed to consolidate and quickly moved lower. During the decline, the price dropped to $66,500 before entering a consolidation phase below $67,000. Based on the technical setup, the nearest resistance is in the $67,000 range.
For investors, this matters not only as a short term technical signal. Bitcoin weakness has coincided with a deterioration in on-chain data tied to large holders, making the current drop look less like a random intraday move and more like a continuation of a broader distribution phase.
According to CryptoQuant, the annual change in holdings among Bitcoin wallets with balances from 1000 to 10000 BTC has turned negative by 188,000 BTC. Analysts describe this trend as structural rather than temporary: the 365-day trend is declining and points to sustained selling pressure from major holders. An added risk is that part of the circulating supply, according to Glassnode estimates, still has a cost basis above $80,000, meaning it remains in unrealized loss territory.
Ethereum appears somewhat more resilient in terms of daily losses, but it is not generating an independent upward impulse for the broader market. As long as BTC remains below $67,000, ETH is also trading without a clear reversal pattern, and the wider market remains in wait-and-see mode.
The main takeaway is that the crypto market is now facing two problems at once. On one side, Bitcoin remains below key levels after falling from $68,800 to $66,600. On the other, on-chain data suggests that selling pressure is coming not only from short term traders but also from large holders whose selling has already become prolonged.
That is why a Fear and Greed Index reading of 9 looks like more than an emotional reaction to volatility. It reflects deeper market caution. Unless BTC climbs back above $67,000 and large holder flows stabilize, room for a confident upside reversal remains limited.
We also reported that Bitcoin drops to $66,000 after Trump’s speech on Iran.