Ethereum price prediction: $2,791.06 resistance in focus? ETH trades flat

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Ethereum gains 0.61% to $2,330.75 today

Highlights

Rising geopolitical tensions and institutional inflows into Ethereum ETFs signal a risk premium is being priced into ETH markets.
The Kelp DAO exploit, triggering $196 million in Aave bad debt and $17.8 billion in outflows, has provoked increased regulatory scrutiny on Ethereum DeFi protocols.
ETH trades with short-term bullish momentum despite overbought signals, consolidation likely within $2,155–$2,390 and downside risk prevailing for the week.

Institutional inflows rise as regulatory fears and geopolitical stress mount

On April 24, escalating tensions between the US and Iran have driven institutional inflows into Ethereum ETFs, reflecting a geopolitical risk premium impacting market behavior. Following the Kelp DAO exploit, which resulted in $196 million of bad debt on DeFi's largest lending protocol Aave, regulatory scrutiny toward Ethereum-based DeFi activity is intensifying as outflows reached $17.8 billion in total value locked. Any new regulatory actions targeting DeFi lending protocols after this exploit pose direct regulatory threats to Ethereum’s operational landscape.

Momentum signals mixed as short-term support outpaces long-term resistance

ETH currently sits above the 20-day SMA at $2,293.05 and the 50-day SMA at $2,173.10, but trades well below the 200-day SMA at $2,791.06. The Ichimoku Kijun level at $2,238.78 acts as immediate support beneath the market. Daily MACD indicates strong upward momentum, which is offset by a neutral ADX and Awesome Oscillator readings. RSI remains in buy territory, Stoch RSI displays oversold conditions, and CCI is neutral; BBP is overbought, showing buyer dominance in the latest sessions, though some short-term exhaustion signals are starting to emerge.

Sideways bias likely as competing momentum and exhaustion persist

Over the coming week, ETH is likely to fluctuate within a $2,155 — $2,390 volatility band relative to current levels as conflicting technical signals persist. A move above $2,390 could open the way for renewed upside, while a drop below $2,155 would signal a potential resumption of the broader downward trend. The most probable outcome is sideways consolidation as momentum and exhaustion compete.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees robust institutional interest in Ethereum despite recent regulatory and exploit-related concerns. He notes that the market is digesting both a macro geopolitical risk premium and renewed regulatory focus on DeFi. Price action remains constructive above key short- and medium-term averages, with momentum signaling continued buyer interest. Sideways consolidation is likely in the near term, but upside remains possible if $2,390 is cleared. "Momentum is building and institutional demand stays strong — as long as support holds, I expect ETH to retest higher levels soon."

Earlier, analysts noted that Ethereum was experiencing cautious institutional flows and mixed momentum amid persistent uncertainty and ecosystem shifts. The current environment adds intensified regulatory scrutiny and heightened geopolitical influences, making a decisive move above $2,390 or below $2,155 especially significant for determining the next directional trend.

Source of Data: ETH Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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