TRX weakens as RSI signals potential for recovery: weekly report

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Tron falls 6.14% this week

Highlights

TRX maintains a bullish structure, trading above key moving averages and supported by positive medium- and long-term momentum.
Despite a 6.14% weekly decline, technical indicators show underlying buyer dominance and signal potential trend stabilization.
TRX is projected to trade between $0.3311 and $0.3376 this week, with over 80% probability of an upward breakout if resistance is surpassed.

Broader adoption prospects rise as Bitnomial listing and upgrades drive sentiment

TRX secured a notable spot listing on Bitnomial, a US-regulated derivatives exchange, giving American traders and institutions compliant access to the token. This development is expected to support the broader adoption of TRON’s stablecoin and settlement features. Justin Sun also confirmed that work is underway on a quantum-resistant testnet, with a mainnet upgrade scheduled for 2026.

Bullish momentum sustains over the week as technical support remains firm

Weekly technical analysis shows TRX trading above all major W1 moving averages, with MA-50 acting as dynamic support and confirming an intact medium- to long-term uptrend. RSI W1 stands at 52.59, suggesting neutral to mildly oversold conditions, while the Stochastic RSI (17.91) and CCI (50.58) point to potential for further recovery. Bull/Bear Power and the Awesome Oscillator both reinforce the presence of bullish momentum, and the MACD and ADX confirm a positive trend. Support is expected near MA-20 ($0.3155) and MA-50 ($0.3132), while resistance levels start at $0.3311 and strengthen above $0.3376.

Upside breakout risk grows next week as indicators signal resilient demand

For the next seven days, TRX is likely to trade within the $0.3311 to $0.3376 range, with a strong probability of an upward breakout based on multiple W1 indicators signaling continued buying interest. The baseline scenario favors sideways price action in this corridor, with a bullish case emerging if TRX sustains a move above $0.3376, which could open the way to new yearly highs. On the downside, a decisive break below $0.3311 would increase the risk of a deeper correction toward weekly moving average support.

Parshwa Turakhiya, analyst, believes TRX maintained its bullish structure this week despite a 6.14% price pullback, with the price holding well above key moving averages. He notes that the token’s Bitnomial listing and development updates added a layer of positive sentiment, supporting strong interest from both traders and institutions. Technical indicators suggest the uptrend remains intact, especially with dynamic support and buyer dominance visible in the latest weekly data. Over the coming week, the analyst expects continued sideways movement between $0.3311 and $0.3376, with a high probability for an upside breakout if $0.3376 is cleared. "I see a stable bullish setup this week, and if momentum persists above $0.3376, I would watch closely for a move to new highs."

Previously it was reported that increased U.S. market access via regulated exchanges and growing institutional interest had strengthened the long-term outlook for Tron. With new technical confirmation of upward momentum and ecosystem development, traders should monitor any sustained move above $0.3376 as a potential catalyst for a breakout to new highs.

Source of Data: TRX Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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