Kaspa falls 4.13% as large holders increase selling pressure

Traders Union
All News
Crypto News
Kaspa down 4.13% today on high volume

Highlights

Kaspa's transaction volumes have exceeded the 30-day average for a second day, signaling intensified liquidity outflows and increased seller exits.
Persistent selling pressure and dominant supply from larger holders are exacerbating downward momentum across the network.
Technical signals support continued bearishness, with price trending below key averages and a projected short-term range of $0.0293 to $0.0315, favoring downside risk.

Elevated volumes accelerate exits as seller dominance rises

Kaspa has seen trading volumes remain above the 30-day average for the second consecutive day, reflecting heightened transaction flows and liquidity outflows on the network. This elevated activity has created a favorable environment for larger holders to exit positions, amplifying the ongoing downward pressure in the market. The presence of persistent seller dominance further contributed to reduced demand and added strain on price dynamics.

Bearish edge as momentum signals confirm resistance pressure

On the technical front, KAS trades below the MA-20 at $0.0307 and MA-50 at $0.0308 on the hourly chart, with the daily MA-200 well above at $0.0375. The Ichimoku Kijun sits at $0.0309 as immediate resistance. Among momentum indicators, the MACD issues a sell signal, while the ADX remains neutral; RSI stands at 44.19 and is flagged as Sell, both Stoch RSI and CCI are neutral, and BBP confirms seller dominance intraday. The Awesome Oscillator signals a neutral tone.

Downside risk elevated as breakout odds remain subdued

Looking ahead, KAS is likely to remain within the $0.0293 to $0.0315 volatility band over the next 2–3 trading days. The probability of a breakout to the upside is assessed as very low, while the chance of a breakdown below $0.0293 is considered very high. The baseline expectation is a holding pattern within this defined corridor, with a move above $0.0309 potentially leading to a recovery, and a break below $0.0293 opening further downside risk.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees Kaspa as pressured by ongoing seller dominance and elevated transaction activity. He believes these macro and sentiment forces have weighed on price stability in the short term, with the technical picture confirming prevailing market weakness. However, Karapetjanc’s outlook remains constructive, given strong liquidity and the potential for rapid reversals if sentiment shifts. 'If KAS successfully holds the $0.0293 level, I see scope for a renewed move toward resistance within this volatility band,' he says.

Previously it was reported that Kaspa faced persistent bearish momentum, with sentiment heavily influenced by ongoing protocol uncertainty and delayed upgrades. The latest uptick in trading volume and sustained selling pressure reinforce the cautious outlook, making a decisive move outside the $0.0293 to $0.0315 volatility band the next major inflection point for market direction.

Source of Data: KAS Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.